MIN beat SJS 3–2 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jared Spurgeon scored at 4:48 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:00 | SJS | Joakim Ryan from Jannik Hansen, Barclay Goodrow | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 2:28 | SJS | Chris Tierney from Kevin Labanc | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P2 19:16 | MIN | Matt Cullen from Jared Spurgeon, Marcus Foligno | 2–1 | 11% → 28% |
| P3 15:16 | MIN | Eric Staal from Ryan Suter, Jason Zucker | 2–2 | 13% → 51% |
| OT 4:48 | MIN | Jared Spurgeon from Jason Zucker | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joakim Ryan D | 17:31 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.07 | +0.45 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jannik Hansen R | 11:51 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Barclay Goodrow C | 13:09 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Chris Tierney C | 14:12 | 1 | +0.09 | −0.10 | +0.27 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tim Heed D | 6:41 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 10:25 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.06 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 11:48 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan DeMelo D | 25:44 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Couture C | 18:44 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Melker Karlsson C | 15:28 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 17:36 | −0.22 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joonas Donskoi R | 18:14 | −0.22 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikkel Boedker L | 8:25 | −0.23 | −0.09 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 19:52 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.04 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 30:41 | −0.25 | −0.27 | −0.03 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 31:49 | −0.31 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 21:09 | −0.33 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.06 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Eric Fehr C | 15:05 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.47 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 64:48 | +0.06 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Spurgeon D | 25:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.45 | +0.09 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Ryan Suter D | 30:29 | 1 | +0.56 | +0.33 | −0.04 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Cullen C | 11:55 | 1 | +0.33 | −0.06 | +0.40 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Staal C | 18:47 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.08 | +0.35 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jason Zucker L | 19:21 | 2 | +0.28 | +0.15 | −0.20 | +0.33 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Dumba D | 28:26 | +0.19 | +0.15 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 18:45 | +0.14 | +0.07 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Koivu C | 19:21 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.06 | +0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 16:21 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Seeler D | 18:53 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Winnik L | 12:21 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:12 | −0.08 | +0.05 | −0.03 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Tyler Ennis R | 10:56 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Prosser D | 10:07 | −0.12 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Eriksson Ek C | 11:30 | −0.13 | +0.07 | −0.15 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Marcus Foligno L | 10:50 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Mike Reilly D | 12:11 | −0.20 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 21:02 | −0.26 | +0.17 | −0.42 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk G | 64:32 | +0.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.