NJD beat PHI 5–4 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (NJD 3.7, PHI 3.7), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Taylor Hall scored on the power play at 18:39 of the third, moving NJD’s win probability from 6% to 50%. Michal Neuvirth allowed 1.3 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:54 | PHI | Travis Konecny from Claude Giroux, Shayne Gostisbehere | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 4:06 | NJD | Taylor Hall from Sami Vatanen | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 4:49 | PHI | Scott Laughton from Michael Raffl, Andrew MacDonald | 1–2 | 53% → 73% |
| P2 10:36 | PHI | Radko Gudas from Valtteri Filppula, Dale Weise | 1–3 | 74% → 89% |
| P2 13:17 | NJD | John Moore from Travis Zajac, Jesper Bratt | 2–3 | 11% → 25% |
| P2 15:59 | PHI | Claude GirouxPP from Jakub Voracek, Shayne Gostisbehere | 2–4 | 76% → 90% |
| P2 16:09 | NJD | Nico Hischier from Jesper Bratt | 3–4 | 10% → 24% |
| P3 18:39 | NJD | Taylor HallPP from Nico Hischier, Travis Zajac | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 18:15 | 2 | +1.67 | +0.45 | +1.17 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nico Hischier C | 16:25 | 1 | 1 | +1.43 | +0.44 | +0.59 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.36 | +0.02 | +0.00 |
| John Moore D | 21:38 | 1 | +0.81 | −0.04 | +0.89 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Stafford R | 10:19 | +0.72 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.82 | ||
| Sami Vatanen D | 27:53 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.25 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Will Butcher D | 12:51 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jimmy Hayes R | 7:42 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Lovejoy D | 14:36 | +0.03 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 19:23 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Greene D | 26:10 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pavel Zacha C | 16:00 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 14:36 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Bratt L | 16:57 | 2 | −0.30 | −0.08 | −0.23 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Lappin R | 11:03 | −0.31 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 20:54 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.31 | ||
| Travis Zajac C | 22:03 | 2 | −0.38 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.00 | |
| Stefan Noesen R | 12:09 | −0.46 | −0.00 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 15:25 | −0.69 | −0.02 | −0.46 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Keith Kinkaid G | 64:52 | +0.53 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux R | 21:08 | 1 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.30 | +0.57 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 |
| Scott Laughton C | 10:47 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.00 | +0.76 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.00 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 19:25 | 1 | +0.62 | −0.29 | +0.89 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Travis Konecny R | 18:54 | 1 | +0.37 | −0.05 | +0.63 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.36 | |
| Shayne Gostisbehere D | 25:17 | 2 | +0.35 | +0.35 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nolan Patrick C | 18:28 | +0.05 | +0.11 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Manning D | 16:20 | −0.08 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 15:31 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 16:43 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Wayne Simmonds R | 20:42 | −0.24 | +0.01 | −0.04 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 9:41 | −0.25 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Weal C | 10:39 | −0.28 | +0.02 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | −0.31 | ||
| Valtteri Filppula C | 14:30 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | |
| Dale Weise R | 7:41 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 10:52 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.19 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 23:11 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.34 | −0.49 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | |
| Ivan Provorov D | 25:19 | −0.59 | −0.21 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 21:52 | −1.01 | −0.19 | −0.42 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.36 | −0.05 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Michal Neuvirth G | 65:00 | −1.34 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.