CHI beat NSH 2–1. CHI lost the expected-goals battle 1.9 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Vinnie Hinostroza scored at 14:33 of the second, moving CHI’s win probability from 47% to 70%. Anton Forsberg saved 2.9 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CHI–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 3:03 | CHI | David Kampf from Vinnie Hinostroza, Tomas Jurco | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P2 2:12 |  NSH | Kyle Turris from Scott Hartnell, Craig Smith | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 14:33 | CHI | Vinnie Hinostroza from Nick Schmaltz, Patrick Kane | 2–1 | 47% → 70% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Hinostroza C | 14:33 | 1 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.09 | +0.84 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| David Kampf C | 10:37 | 1 | +0.64 | −0.15 | +0.83 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tommy Wingels C | 11:33 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 22:05 | −0.09 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Artem Anisimov C | 14:00 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 | ||
| Tomas Jurco R | 9:16 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Duncan Keith D | 21:57 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Hartman R | 12:05 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michal Kempny D | 16:07 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Duclair L | 17:20 | −0.22 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 21:41 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.23 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 18:13 | −0.27 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Oesterle D | 22:24 | −0.27 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 14:27 | −0.30 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schmaltz C | 19:03 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.30 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Jonathan Toews C | 19:38 | −0.47 | −0.29 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Connor Murphy D | 15:22 | −0.50 | −0.18 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex DeBrincat R | 17:39 | −0.53 | −0.27 | −0.27 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg G | 60:00 | +2.89 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Turris C | 16:32 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.03 | +0.60 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Josi D | 23:10 | +0.28 | +0.27 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 24:06 | +0.21 | +0.37 | −0.18 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexei Emelin D | 12:56 | +0.15 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 16:22 | +0.14 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 22:23 | +0.09 | +0.17 | −0.12 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 17:03 | +0.07 | +0.14 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miikka Salomaki R | 8:01 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pontus Aberg L | 14:32 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Irwin D | 14:37 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 18:25 | −0.07 | +0.20 | −0.26 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 13:07 | −0.08 | +0.28 | −0.41 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Ryan Ellis D | 22:48 | −0.10 | +0.18 | −0.33 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 16:15 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.20 | −0.32 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Scott Hartnell L | 12:46 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.15 | −0.43 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Austin Watson L | 8:47 | −0.29 | +0.14 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 16:50 | −0.36 | +0.15 | −0.49 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kevin Fiala L | 18:45 | −0.44 | +0.08 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros G | 58:35 | +0.21 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.