DAL beat BOS 3–2 in overtime. Expected goals were close to even (DAL 2.2, BOS 2.0), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Tyler Seguin scored on the power play at 2:59 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 50% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:49 | DAL | Stephen Johns from Remi Elie, Brett Ritchie | 1–0 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 8:15 | DAL | Alexander Radulov from Jamie Benn | 2–0 | 68% → 83% |
| P2 16:28 | BOS | Zdeno Chara from Charlie McAvoy, Riley Nash | 2–1 | 13% → 29% |
| P3 11:21 | BOS | Ryan Spooner from David Krejci, Matt Grzelcyk | 2–2 | 18% → 52% |
| OT 2:59 | DAL | Tyler SeguinPP from John Klingberg, Jamie Benn | 3–2 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seguin C | 23:13 | 1 | +0.82 | +0.10 | +0.73 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Stephen Johns D | 15:44 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.05 | +0.45 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Remi Elie L | 9:33 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jamie Benn L | 20:05 | 2 | +0.25 | +0.11 | −0.03 | +0.17 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brett Ritchie R | 7:09 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Greg Pateryn D | 22:39 | +0.06 | +0.13 | −0.01 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 21:37 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.04 | +0.25 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Julius Honka D | 10:19 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dan Hamhuis D | 23:25 | +0.01 | +0.13 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gemel Smith C | 7:13 | −0.01 | +0.04 | −0.09 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Martin Hanzal C | 17:26 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Esa Lindell D | 24:33 | −0.10 | −0.12 | −0.07 | +0.03 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 25:05 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mattias Janmark C | 18:43 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 14:28 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 11:20 | −0.35 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Pitlick C | 14:09 | −0.35 | +0.07 | −0.38 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 15:14 | −0.40 | +0.05 | −0.10 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kari Lehtonen G | 62:01 | +0.15 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zdeno Chara D | 24:46 | 1 | +0.61 | +0.03 | +0.42 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| David Krejci C | 18:01 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Charlie McAvoy D | 22:27 | 1 | +0.16 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Spooner C | 16:40 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.09 | +0.25 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Jake DeBrusk L | 15:39 | +0.10 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Kuraly C | 8:56 | +0.08 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Riley Nash C | 14:45 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Tim Schaller L | 8:23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:42 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.05 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 18:51 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 13:18 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 6:05 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Grzelcyk D | 15:51 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.09 | −0.08 | +0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Danton Heinen L | 17:06 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 21:44 | −0.13 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| David Backes R | 15:41 | −0.17 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 23:18 | −0.44 | −0.24 | −0.16 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 21:49 | −0.54 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 62:54 | −0.27 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.