ANA beat NYI 5–4 in overtime. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.8 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Hampus Lindholm scored at 4:03 of overtime, moving ANA’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Ryan Miller allowed 1.4 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 8:09 | ANA | Hampus Lindholm from Andrew Cogliano, Ryan Getzlaf | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P1 9:54 | ANA | Ondrej Kase from Josh Manson, Nick Ritchie | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P2 5:39 | NYI | Mathew BarzalPP from Josh Bailey, John Tavares | 2–1 | 21% → 34% |
| P2 12:36 | ANA | Hampus Lindholm from Ryan Getzlaf | 3–1 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 16:59 | NYI | John TavaresPP from Josh Bailey, Mathew Barzal | 3–2 | 13% → 29% |
| P3 5:44 | NYI | John Tavares from Josh Bailey, Nick Leddy | 3–3 | 24% → 52% |
| P3 7:52 | NYI | Andrew Ladd from Jordan Eberle, Scott Mayfield | 3–4 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 18:45 | ANA | Rickard RakellPP from Brandon Montour, Ryan Getzlaf | 4–4 | 5% → 50% |
| OT 4:03 | ANA | Hampus Lindholm from Ryan Getzlaf, Ondrej Kase | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampus Lindholm D | 21:55 | 3 | +2.67 | +0.13 | +2.34 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Ondrej Kase R | 14:44 | 1 | 1 | +0.64 | +0.10 | +0.56 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Rickard Rakell R | 24:11 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.23 | +0.31 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Cam Fowler D | 26:47 | +0.16 | +0.29 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 24:48 | 4 | +0.15 | +0.28 | −0.18 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Chris Wagner R | 8:54 | +0.12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Antoine Vermette C | 11:06 | +0.11 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Derek Grant C | 11:34 | +0.10 | +0.19 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Francois Beauchemin D | 15:23 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 19:12 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Bieksa D | 16:49 | −0.09 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Ritchie L | 12:09 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.21 | −0.33 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 13:52 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.23 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Logan Shaw R | 8:48 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.25 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 21:17 | −0.33 | −0.16 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 20:50 | −0.38 | −0.13 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Kevin Roy C | 14:16 | −0.42 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.36 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Montour D | 20:37 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.08 | −0.35 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 63:41 | −1.43 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ladd L | 19:15 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.23 | +0.72 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Tavares C | 19:40 | 2 | 1 | +0.75 | −0.20 | +1.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| Mathew Barzal C | 17:28 | 1 | 1 | +0.55 | +0.22 | +0.36 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 15:57 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Pulock D | 17:33 | +0.11 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Hickey D | 18:33 | +0.10 | +0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 15:23 | +0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 14:52 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 20:49 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Boychuk D | 20:25 | −0.08 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Prince L | 11:10 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Chimera L | 11:51 | −0.18 | −0.03 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steve Bernier R | 10:53 | −0.20 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 13:18 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 16:59 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Scott Mayfield D | 20:16 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Bailey R | 17:28 | 3 | −0.31 | −0.16 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Leddy D | 24:19 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.40 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 64:03 | −1.36 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.