DAL beat VGK 3–0. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Radek Faksa scored at 12:55 of the second, moving DAL’s win probability from 47% to 69%. Ben Bishop saved 1.9 goals above expected.
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–VGK | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 12:55 | Radek Faksa from Dan Hamhuis, Greg Pateryn | 1–0 | 47% → 69% | |
| P2 19:33 | Radek Faksa from Gemel Smith, Brett Ritchie | 2–0 | 72% → 89% | |
| P2 19:41 | Radek Faksa from Antoine Roussel, Tyler Pitlick | 3–0 | 89% → 97% |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radek Faksa C | 15:20 | 3 | +2.30 | +0.06 | +2.24 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Mattias Janmark C | 15:01 | +0.29 | +0.13 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Greg Pateryn D | 19:10 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Julius Honka D | 14:47 | +0.10 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stephen Johns D | 17:28 | +0.05 | +0.12 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Radulov R | 19:47 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 18:49 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Martin Hanzal C | 12:24 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 12:08 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Esa Lindell D | 22:37 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Klingberg D | 24:31 | −0.06 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gemel Smith C | 11:04 | 1 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dan Hamhuis D | 20:21 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Tyler Pitlick C | 11:03 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Devin Shore C | 18:43 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Seguin C | 18:11 | −0.30 | +0.05 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Jason Spezza C | 12:46 | −0.33 | +0.10 | −0.40 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Brett Ritchie R | 10:12 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.02 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Bishop G | 59:57 | +1.87 |
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden McNabb D | 18:29 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 10:16 | +0.06 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Brad Hunt D | 16:26 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Deryk Engelland D | 20:19 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Leipsic L | 16:22 | −0.00 | −0.07 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.02 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 17:16 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Stefan Matteau C | 7:54 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 21:23 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Eakin C | 14:43 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Shea Theodore D | 22:20 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 17:48 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tomas Nosek L | 13:52 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oscar Lindberg L | 10:44 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 15:56 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Marchessault C | 16:28 | −0.30 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| James Neal L | 16:46 | −0.34 | −0.07 | −0.28 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Schmidt D | 20:28 | −0.36 | −0.17 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.03 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Tuch R | 14:30 | −0.65 | −0.05 | −0.61 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Subban G | 60:00 | −0.53 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.