ARI beat LAK 3–2 in overtime. ARI also won the expected-goals battle 3.7 to 2.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Christian Fischer scored at 2:43 of overtime, moving ARI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–ARI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:17 | ARI | Oliver Ekman-LarssonPP from Christian Fischer, Derek Stepan | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 2:53 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Marian Gaborik, Jake Muzzin | 1–1 | 28% → 47% |
| P2 17:50 | ARI | Brendan Perlini from Alex Goligoski, Tobias Rieder | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 2:42 | LAK | Trevor Lewis from Andy Andreoff, Drew Doughty | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
| OT 2:43 | ARI | Christian Fischer from Christian Dvorak, Jason Demers | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lewis C | 14:40 | 1 | +0.77 | −0.07 | +0.84 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jussi Jokinen L | 12:48 | +0.10 | +0.18 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 24:11 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.34 | +0.51 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.04 | |
| Oscar Fantenberg D | 18:07 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Folin D | 14:33 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marian Gaborik R | 13:51 | 1 | −0.02 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andy Andreoff C | 12:53 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonny Brodzinski C | 11:48 | −0.07 | +0.16 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alex Iafallo L | 13:17 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicholas Shore C | 16:31 | −0.12 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 15:56 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 15:39 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Derek Forbort D | 18:03 | −0.27 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 23:42 | −0.28 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 24:15 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adrian Kempe R | 9:38 | −0.44 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.04 | ||
| Jake Muzzin D | 24:18 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.19 | −0.30 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dustin Brown R | 17:13 | −0.54 | −0.55 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 62:16 | −0.18 |
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Fischer R | 16:44 | 1 | 1 | +1.09 | +0.20 | +0.72 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 25:15 | 1 | +1.03 | +0.12 | +0.87 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Perlini L | 18:03 | 1 | +0.85 | −0.01 | +0.89 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Clayton Keller R | 18:31 | +0.27 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Jordan Martinook L | 12:36 | +0.10 | +0.21 | −0.27 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 16:47 | +0.09 | +0.19 | −0.12 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Derek Stepan C | 21:30 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.05 | |
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 22:15 | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 24:21 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.28 | −0.24 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Connauton D | 11:43 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Richardson R | 12:32 | +0.00 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Zac Rinaldo C | 11:18 | −0.08 | +0.11 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Dvorak C | 16:31 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.32 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 13:09 | −0.13 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Demers D | 22:31 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.16 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Cousins C | 10:56 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Tobias Rieder L | 16:58 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.04 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Anthony Duclair L | 14:29 | −0.44 | +0.09 | −0.55 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 62:43 | −0.37 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.