CBJ beat DET 2–1 in a shootout. Expected goals were close to even (CBJ 2.8, DET 2.6), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Andreas Athanasiou scored at 6:11 of the third, moving DET’s win probability from 23% to 52%. Sergei Bobrovsky saved 4.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 1:07 | CBJ | Artemi Panarin from Oliver Bjorkstrand, David Savard | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P3 6:11 | DET | Andreas Athanasiou from Niklas Kronwall, Tomas Tatar | 1–1 | 23% → 52% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:29 | 1 | +1.39 | +0.28 | +0.22 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.82 | |
| Jack Johnson D | 17:39 | +0.95 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.04 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 18:30 | +0.22 | +0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Nutivaara D | 15:28 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Luc Dubois C | 14:27 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 16:24 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Carlsson D | 4:48 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 25:33 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Motte C | 9:41 | −0.16 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Oliver Bjorkstrand R | 19:20 | 1 | −0.18 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | −0.46 | |
| Markus Hannikainen L | 8:53 | −0.19 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Savard D | 18:50 | 1 | −0.22 | −0.07 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 22:41 | −0.55 | +0.11 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 18:10 | −0.61 | −0.07 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.31 | ||
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 21:09 | −0.64 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 19:33 | −0.66 | −0.14 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Zach Werenski D | 23:07 | −0.68 | −0.02 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 18:40 | −0.70 | −0.02 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.46 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 64:53 | +4.62 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frans Nielsen C | 17:31 | +0.69 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.69 | ||
| Andreas Athanasiou C | 20:32 | 1 | +0.50 | +0.18 | +0.53 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | |
| Luke Witkowski D | 8:22 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Green D | 27:02 | −0.01 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Kronwall D | 20:28 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Wilson C | 7:09 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Xavier Ouellet D | 13:16 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Jensen D | 11:49 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Ericsson D | 20:38 | −0.24 | −0.15 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darren Helm C | 19:19 | −0.25 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Daley D | 23:40 | −0.43 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 16:48 | −0.46 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Martin Frk R | 7:18 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 17:49 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.14 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | |
| Henrik Zetterberg C | 21:03 | −0.71 | −0.19 | −0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.46 | ||
| Anthony Mantha R | 19:46 | −0.78 | +0.09 | −0.42 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 17:46 | −0.86 | +0.04 | −0.45 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.46 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 22:44 | −1.01 | +0.06 | −0.41 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.46 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Howard G | 65:00 | +2.65 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.