ARI beat PHI 4–3 in overtime. ARI also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Alex Goligoski scored at 4:45 of overtime, moving ARI’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ARI–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:20 | ARI | Jordan Martinook from Niklas Hjalmarsson, Brad Richardson | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 7:46 | ARI | Christian Dvorak from Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Jason Demers | 2–0 | 63% → 76% |
| P3 1:34 | ARI | Brendan PerliniPP from Alex Goligoski, Niklas Hjalmarsson | 3–0 | 91% → 98% |
| P3 2:14 | PHI | Sean CouturierPP from Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov | 3–1 | 2% → 9% |
| P3 19:07 | PHI | Jordan WealPP from Ivan Provorov, Valtteri Filppula | 3–2 | 0% → 4% |
| P3 19:45 | PHI | Sean CouturierPP from Claude Giroux, Ivan Provorov | 3–3 | 4% → 51% |
| OT 4:45 | ARI | Alex Goligoski from Clayton Keller, Max Domi | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ARI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Goligoski D | 27:09 | 1 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.02 | +0.80 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Brendan Perlini L | 17:49 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.12 | +0.82 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Martinook L | 14:45 | 1 | +0.68 | −0.02 | +0.75 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Christian Dvorak C | 19:32 | 1 | +0.56 | −0.15 | +0.70 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 27:12 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.15 | −0.10 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 20:20 | 2 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tobias Rieder L | 16:35 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Cousins C | 9:06 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Derek Stepan C | 19:35 | −0.08 | +0.17 | −0.37 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | −0.07 | ||
| Zac Rinaldo C | 9:28 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Clayton Keller R | 19:17 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.25 | −0.36 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Connauton D | 12:46 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mario Kempe R | 10:06 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Christian Fischer R | 17:03 | −0.26 | −0.05 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jason Demers D | 23:45 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.00 | −0.30 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 14:45 | −0.31 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Domi C | 19:32 | 1 | −0.37 | +0.24 | −0.71 | +0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Brad Richardson R | 15:47 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.07 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood G | 64:40 | −0.76 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier C | 24:07 | 2 | +1.33 | −0.12 | +1.36 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Jordan Weal C | 12:21 | 1 | +0.49 | −0.03 | +0.53 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Radko Gudas D | 20:52 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 11:46 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Brandon Manning D | 18:27 | +0.04 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Read R | 10:38 | +0.03 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Konecny R | 17:13 | −0.00 | +0.07 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Valtteri Filppula C | 15:47 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 12:20 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Travis Sanheim D | 23:41 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Robert Hagg D | 17:18 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 10:56 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 20:26 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 21:40 | 2 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.26 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.11 | |
| Mark Alt D | 16:54 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 19:00 | −0.16 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Leier L | 9:38 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ivan Provorov D | 28:07 | 3 | −0.51 | −0.16 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 62:50 | −0.70 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.