BOS beat NYI 2–1. Expected goals were close to even (BOS 2.2, NYI 2.2), so the finishing and the goaltending decided it. The biggest swing: Riley Nash scored at 4:12 of the third, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 75%. Anton Khudobin saved 1.4 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:05 | NYI | John Tavares from Josh Bailey, Brock Nelson | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P1 10:41 | BOS | Riley Nash unassisted | 1–1 | 30% → 47% |
| P3 4:12 | BOS | Riley Nash from Dominic Moore | 2–1 | 48% → 75% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Nash C | 15:20 | 2 | +1.52 | +0.04 | +1.48 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 23:32 | +0.31 | +0.37 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Carlo D | 21:54 | +0.22 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dominic Moore C | 15:36 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Adam McQuaid D | 22:04 | +0.06 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 21:35 | +0.04 | +0.15 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Noel Acciari C | 7:57 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 18:35 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Spooner C | 10:02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| David Pastrnak R | 17:33 | −0.05 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.06 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 16:26 | −0.07 | +0.10 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.02 | ||
| Jimmy Hayes R | 6:08 | −0.08 | +0.04 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Backes R | 16:47 | −0.12 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Stafford R | 16:04 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Frank Vatrano R | 9:25 | −0.15 | +0.02 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Miller D | 11:50 | −0.16 | +0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Marchand L | 20:06 | −0.18 | +0.13 | −0.32 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 17:06 | −0.22 | +0.07 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anton Khudobin G | 60:00 | +1.37 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tavares C | 22:08 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.22 | +0.53 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Travis Hamonic D | 19:57 | +0.20 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.35 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 14:02 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Seidenberg D | 13:32 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Stephen Gionta C | 11:03 | +0.12 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Chimera L | 11:19 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Pelech D | 18:18 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Mayfield D | 9:08 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calvin de Haan D | 23:10 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joshua Ho-Sang R | 18:51 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 15:57 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 19:13 | −0.21 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 13:27 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Brock Nelson C | 15:54 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.01 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Josh Bailey R | 17:56 | 1 | −0.35 | −0.23 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Shane Prince L | 11:18 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.43 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 23:36 | −0.46 | −0.21 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Ladd L | 17:00 | −0.61 | −0.27 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Thomas Greiss G | 58:11 | +0.03 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.