VAN beat CHI 5–4 in overtime. VAN lost the expected-goals battle 1.4 to 4.3 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Daniel Sedin scored on the power play at 2:12 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 50% to 100%. Corey Crawford allowed 3.0 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 19:00 | VAN | Henrik Sedin from Daniel Sedin, Michael Chaput | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 1:33 | VAN | Brandon Sutter from Jayson Megna | 2–0 | 66% → 81% |
| P2 3:15 | CHI | Ryan HartmanPP from Marian Hossa, Nick Schmaltz | 2–1 | 19% → 34% |
| P2 7:45 | VAN | Reid Boucher from Chris Tanev, Sven Baertschi | 3–1 | 68% → 83% |
| P3 2:15 | VAN | Brandon Sutter from Jack Skille, Alexander Edler | 4–1 | 91% → 98% |
| P3 5:48 | CHI | Marian HossaPP from Brent Seabrook, Brian Campbell | 4–2 | 1% → 7% |
| P3 8:10 | CHI | Richard Panik from Trevor van Riemsdyk, Jonathan Toews | 4–3 | 6% → 22% |
| P3 18:57 | CHI | Ryan HartmanPP from Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith | 4–4 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 2:12 | VAN | Daniel SedinPP from Troy Stecher, Henrik Sedin | 5–4 | 50% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Sutter C | 19:16 | 2 | +1.18 | −0.22 | +1.45 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Reid Boucher C | 12:02 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.19 | +0.66 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Sedin L | 19:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.37 | +0.77 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Henrik Sedin C | 18:50 | 1 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.43 | +0.79 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.03 |
| Jack Skille R | 8:53 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Troy Stecher D | 18:24 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Shore C | 11:43 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Sven Baertschi L | 17:37 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Luca Sbisa D | 18:41 | −0.12 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joseph Cramarossa C | 8:23 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 7:59 | −0.19 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Chaput C | 18:23 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Alexander Edler D | 24:19 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.22 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Tryamkin D | 19:23 | −0.30 | −0.29 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jayson Megna C | 12:12 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.37 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ben Hutton D | 19:04 | −0.36 | −0.19 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tanev D | 24:06 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.44 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bo Horvat C | 19:21 | −0.52 | −0.21 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.06 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 62:12 | +0.44 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hartman R | 17:41 | 2 | +1.65 | +0.04 | +1.45 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 | |
| Marian Hossa R | 18:27 | 1 | 1 | +0.96 | +0.21 | +0.73 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Richard Panik R | 17:08 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.25 | +0.66 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Duncan Keith D | 26:32 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.40 | −0.16 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 17:46 | +0.27 | +0.32 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 17:56 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.24 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tanner Kero C | 11:32 | +0.17 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.04 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 24:29 | +0.13 | +0.30 | −0.26 | +0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Oduya D | 16:28 | +0.12 | +0.16 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Hayden C | 13:00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Campbell D | 19:12 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dennis Rasmussen C | 6:43 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 10:20 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 24:33 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.23 | −0.52 | +0.11 | −0.02 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 15:35 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.14 | −0.33 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Brent Seabrook D | 20:40 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.17 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tomas Jurco R | 6:58 | −0.41 | +0.20 | −0.60 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathan Toews C | 22:11 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.40 | −0.73 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.35 | +0.17 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Darling G | 18:54 | −0.45 |
| Corey Crawford G | 42:15 | −3.00 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.