SJS beat VAN 4–1. SJS lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 3.2 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Patrick Marleau scored at 19:04 of the second, moving SJS’s win probability from 48% to 72%. Martin Jones saved 2.8 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | SJS–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 3:31 | SJS | Tomas Hertl from Chris Tierney, Joel Ward | 1–0 | 47% → 66% |
| P2 12:02 | VAN | Daniel Sedin from Henrik Sedin | 1–1 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 19:04 | SJS | Patrick Marleau from David Schlemko, Chris Tierney | 2–1 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 11:31 | SJS | Mikkel Boedker unassisted | 3–1 | 82% → 96% |
| P3 14:20 | SJS | Logan CouturePP from Brent Burns, Joe Pavelski | 4–1 | 98% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl C | 18:33 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.09 | +0.81 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Logan Couture C | 14:07 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.14 | +0.81 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | |
| Mikkel Boedker L | 13:42 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.11 | +0.65 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Marleau C | 14:27 | 1 | +0.45 | −0.11 | +0.78 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.17 | −0.03 | |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 20:38 | +0.11 | −0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| David Schlemko D | 15:44 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.11 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brenden Dillon D | 17:15 | +0.05 | +0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Thornton C | 13:48 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Joe Pavelski C | 15:40 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Tierney C | 16:51 | 2 | −0.06 | +0.18 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Justin Braun D | 21:00 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Melker Karlsson C | 10:46 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barclay Goodrow C | 11:59 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Labanc R | 15:23 | −0.12 | +0.03 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Martin D | 19:57 | −0.26 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Micheal Haley L | 12:21 | −0.28 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.05 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 24:50 | 1 | −0.34 | −0.28 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joel Ward R | 18:59 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.11 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 60:00 | +2.82 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Larsen D | 19:53 | +0.32 | +0.32 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joseph LaBate C | 9:43 | +0.20 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 22:58 | +0.04 | +0.19 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Sbisa D | 13:04 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reid Boucher C | 11:22 | +0.01 | +0.08 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 27:44 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Sedin C | 20:09 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Evan McEneny D | 15:08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 17:40 | −0.06 | +0.31 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Alexandre Grenier R | 8:10 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brendan Gaunce C | 9:42 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 19:37 | −0.09 | +0.12 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 17:51 | −0.10 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sedin L | 19:31 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Jannik Hansen R | 16:52 | −0.12 | +0.12 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Sutter C | 17:36 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Jayson Megna C | 15:11 | −0.24 | +0.16 | −0.40 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Burrows R | 17:13 | −0.60 | +0.02 | −0.61 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 60:00 | −2.20 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.