MIN beat NSH 5–2. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mikael Granlund scored on the power play at 2:38 of the first, moving MIN’s win probability from 54% to 69%. Devan Dubnyk saved 1.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 2:38 | MIN | Mikael GranlundPP from Nino Niederreiter, Mikko Koivu | 0–1 | 54% → 69% |
| P2 17:00 | MIN | Jason Zucker from Mikael Granlund, Jared Spurgeon | 0–2 | 76% → 91% |
| P3 0:35 | MIN | Mikko Koivu from Ryan Suter, Jason Zucker | 0–3 | 92% → 98% |
| P3 8:16 | NSH | Colin Wilson from Yannick Weber | 1–3 | 1% → 5% |
| P3 10:25 | NSH | James Neal from P.K. Subban, Colin Wilson | 2–3 | 4% → 17% |
| P3 16:41 | MIN | Jason Zucker unassisted | 2–4 | 91% → 99% |
| P3 18:05 | MIN | Eric StaalEN from Jason Pominville, Ryan Suter | 2–5 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Wilson C | 15:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.06 | +0.64 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| James Neal L | 19:21 | 1 | +0.25 | −0.01 | +0.42 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Johansen C | 16:05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Vernon Fiddler C | 10:28 | −0.02 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Harry Zolnierczyk L | 8:58 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Smith C | 12:38 | −0.07 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mattias Ekholm D | 17:29 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:16 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Irwin D | 17:24 | −0.10 | −0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Yannick Weber D | 15:06 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.06 | −0.22 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Roman Josi D | 23:04 | −0.15 | +0.05 | −0.22 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Filip Forsberg L | 17:29 | −0.15 | −0.06 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colton Sissons C | 9:55 | −0.20 | −0.02 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ryan Ellis D | 24:53 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| P.K. Subban D | 20:06 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 18:18 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.31 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Mike Fisher C | 16:18 | −0.40 | −0.15 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Austin Watson L | 14:58 | −0.67 | −0.18 | −0.29 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Pekka Rinne G | 59:06 | −0.82 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Zucker L | 14:22 | 2 | 1 | +1.47 | +0.00 | +1.47 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Mikko Koivu C | 19:55 | 1 | 1 | +1.00 | +0.14 | +0.77 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| Mikael Granlund C | 18:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.15 | +0.60 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Gustav Olofsson D | 19:32 | +0.27 | +0.26 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 14:55 | +0.15 | +0.15 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 23:26 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.09 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Haula L | 15:31 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Alex Tuch R | 7:33 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Folin D | 17:44 | −0.04 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marco Scandella D | 18:38 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Pominville R | 16:43 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Suter D | 22:53 | 2 | −0.19 | −0.13 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Schroeder C | 10:09 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nino Niederreiter R | 17:03 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.14 | −0.69 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.35 | +0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 15:08 | −0.21 | −0.10 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Chris Stewart R | 9:04 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Staal C | 17:25 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.05 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Zach Parise L | 17:02 | −0.86 | −0.05 | −0.64 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk G | 59:35 | +1.12 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.