EDM beat NJD 3–2 in overtime. EDM also won the expected-goals battle 4.0 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Leon Draisaitl scored at 1:50 of overtime, moving EDM’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NJD–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:06 | NJD | Travis Zajac from Kyle Palmieri, Michael Cammalleri | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 0:16 | EDM | Andrej Sekera from Leon Draisaitl, Adam Larsson | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 19:09 | NJD | Steven Santini from Taylor Hall, PA Parenteau | 2–1 | 48% → 72% |
| P3 12:36 | EDM | Patrick Maroon from Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid | 2–2 | 17% → 51% |
| OT 1:50 | EDM | Leon Draisaitl from Connor McDavid, Oscar Klefbom | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NJD
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Zajac C | 21:56 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.04 | +0.77 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Steven Santini D | 18:26 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.13 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:26 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Karl Stollery D | 15:59 | −0.02 | −0.20 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Quincey D | 18:09 | −0.07 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| PA Parenteau R | 16:19 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Beau Bennett R | 14:24 | −0.18 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Blake Coleman L | 11:49 | −0.25 | −0.19 | −0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miles Wood L | 12:05 | −0.28 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jon Merrill D | 21:47 | −0.32 | −0.33 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Lovejoy D | 23:19 | −0.32 | −0.37 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sergey Kalinin C | 11:07 | −0.40 | −0.37 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Michael Cammalleri L | 19:34 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.13 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.01 | |
| Taylor Hall L | 15:58 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.36 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Devante Smith-Pelly R | 12:52 | −0.41 | −0.30 | −0.17 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Nick Lappin R | 9:00 | −0.44 | −0.29 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Henrique C | 19:56 | −0.57 | −0.32 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Damon Severson D | 19:24 | −0.75 | −0.37 | −0.16 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cory Schneider G | 61:50 | +0.93 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl C | 21:44 | 1 | 2 | +1.48 | +0.53 | +0.86 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Patrick Maroon L | 19:17 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.23 | +0.39 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Andrej Sekera D | 24:26 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.57 | +0.23 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Russell D | 20:33 | +0.43 | +0.51 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oscar Klefbom D | 23:44 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.13 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 17:29 | +0.16 | +0.23 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Connor McDavid C | 23:52 | 2 | +0.11 | +0.49 | −0.49 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Matt Benning D | 18:52 | +0.10 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Benoit Pouliot L | 16:11 | +0.06 | +0.23 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 14:06 | +0.06 | +0.10 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 16:34 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.20 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Eberle R | 15:36 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.23 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Davidson D | 12:17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Slepyshev L | 12:30 | −0.15 | +0.17 | −0.31 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drake Caggiula L | 15:32 | −0.18 | +0.16 | −0.35 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jujhar Khaira L | 8:14 | −0.20 | +0.02 | −0.21 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mark Letestu C | 10:31 | −0.44 | +0.02 | −0.24 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | −0.04 | ||
| Zack Kassian R | 8:16 | −0.63 | −0.07 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.35 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 61:36 | −0.11 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.