MTL beat DAL 4–3 in overtime. MTL lost the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 3.7 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Max Pacioretty scored at 0:19 of overtime, moving MTL’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Kari Lehtonen allowed 1.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MTL–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:38 | MTL | Nathan Beaulieu from Phillip Danault | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 14:44 | DAL | Tyler Seguin from Stephen Johns, Patrick Sharp | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 12:29 | DAL | John KlingbergPP from Cody Eakin, Jason Spezza | 1–2 | 54% → 74% |
| P3 2:58 | MTL | Alexander RadulovPP from Nathan Beaulieu, Shea Weber | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
| P3 4:13 | MTL | Max PaciorettyPP from Nathan Beaulieu, Shea Weber | 3–2 | 49% → 75% |
| P3 17:13 | DAL | Esa Lindell from John Klingberg | 3–3 | 9% → 51% |
| OT 0:19 | MTL | Max Pacioretty from Jeff Petry, Phillip Danault | 4–3 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MTL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Pacioretty L | 20:40 | 2 | +1.18 | +0.00 | +1.18 | +0.03 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Nathan Beaulieu D | 24:09 | 1 | 2 | +0.81 | −0.02 | +0.82 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Alexander Radulov R | 20:46 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.05 | +0.31 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Petry D | 23:59 | 1 | +0.19 | +0.06 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Shea Weber D | 24:23 | 2 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael McCarron C | 11:23 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Byron L | 6:02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torrey Mitchell C | 15:28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Alexei Emelin D | 23:04 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Flynn C | 16:22 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Phillip Danault C | 16:30 | 2 | −0.07 | +0.10 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Artturi Lehkonen L | 16:52 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johnston D | 11:57 | −0.14 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Farnham R | 12:10 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Daniel Carr L | 12:50 | −0.21 | −0.16 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Barberio D | 12:45 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Plekanec C | 15:45 | −0.40 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Brendan Gallagher R | 13:39 | −0.44 | −0.02 | −0.43 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Al Montoya G | 60:19 | +0.44 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esa Lindell D | 21:31 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.15 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Klingberg D | 22:39 | 1 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.27 | +0.69 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jordie Benn D | 17:52 | +0.26 | +0.29 | −0.05 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Eakin C | 18:21 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.18 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 19:42 | 1 | +0.15 | −0.27 | +0.40 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Oduya D | 17:56 | +0.05 | +0.22 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jiri Hudler R | 10:01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 17:00 | −0.05 | +0.14 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dan Hamhuis D | 18:31 | −0.06 | +0.11 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devin Shore C | 13:59 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Lauri Korpikoski L | 10:38 | −0.09 | −0.02 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 14:15 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brett Ritchie R | 12:29 | −0.12 | +0.15 | −0.45 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Stephen Johns D | 19:37 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Sharp L | 17:21 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Eaves R | 15:25 | −0.15 | +0.21 | −0.36 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Jason Spezza C | 19:12 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.10 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis McKenzie L | 10:39 | −0.49 | +0.16 | −0.47 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kari Lehtonen G | 60:19 | −1.16 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.