SJS beat EDM 3–2 in overtime. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 1.7: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kevin Labanc scored at 3:22 of overtime, moving SJS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | EDM–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 0:31 | SJS | Joe PavelskiPP from Brent Burns, Joe Thornton | 0–1 | 54% → 72% |
| P3 6:17 | EDM | Connor McDavid from Andrej Sekera | 1–1 | 20% → 48% |
| P3 8:21 | SJS | Kevin Labanc from Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski | 1–2 | 52% → 82% |
| P3 8:45 | EDM | Patrick Maroon from Connor McDavid, Eric Gryba | 2–2 | 18% → 48% |
| OT 3:22 | SJS | Kevin Labanc from Logan Couture, Brent Burns | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McDavid C | 23:47 | 1 | 1 | +1.04 | −0.13 | +0.72 | +0.10 | −0.02 | +0.35 | +0.02 |
| Patrick Maroon L | 18:04 | 1 | +0.87 | −0.08 | +0.80 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Eric Gryba D | 16:55 | 1 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Benoit Pouliot L | 11:02 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Russell D | 17:25 | −0.07 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Leon Draisaitl C | 21:53 | −0.10 | −0.15 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.17 | −0.06 | ||
| Adam Larsson D | 19:06 | −0.11 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drake Caggiula L | 10:54 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Brandon Davidson D | 16:26 | −0.13 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Oscar Klefbom D | 19:04 | −0.22 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Hendricks C | 12:31 | −0.22 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.03 | ||
| Taylor Beck L | 4:12 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Letestu C | 20:26 | −0.23 | −0.19 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.08 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 20:14 | −0.26 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrej Sekera D | 23:07 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.18 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 20:26 | −0.31 | −0.17 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 20:43 | −0.32 | −0.09 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zack Kassian R | 6:41 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot G | 63:22 | +0.14 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Labanc R | 13:34 | 2 | +1.54 | +0.20 | +1.35 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 22:56 | 1 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.08 | +0.58 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Brenden Dillon D | 14:44 | +0.62 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.52 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Tierney C | 15:48 | +0.10 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Joonas Donskoi R | 12:11 | +0.09 | +0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joel Ward R | 10:57 | +0.08 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Paul Martin D | 18:23 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 22:43 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Couture C | 19:38 | 2 | +0.03 | +0.11 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Micheal Haley L | 7:22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Joe Thornton C | 20:26 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.05 | −0.10 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Dylan DeMelo D | 15:52 | −0.05 | +0.20 | −0.27 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Burns D | 26:18 | 2 | −0.09 | +0.20 | −0.31 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Melker Karlsson C | 11:34 | −0.11 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 20:15 | −0.32 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 | ||
| Timo Meier R | 10:16 | −0.37 | +0.07 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Marleau C | 21:37 | −0.37 | +0.02 | −0.37 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikkel Boedker L | 13:32 | −0.66 | +0.01 | −0.51 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Jones G | 63:22 | −0.46 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.