STL beat CHI 2–1 in overtime. STL also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko scored at 3:37 of overtime, moving STL’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Scott Darling saved 1.3 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 12:40 | CHI | Jonathan Toews from Patrick Kane, Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0–1 | 53% → 74% |
| P3 18:44 | STL | Vladimir TarasenkoPP from Kevin Shattenkirk, Alexander Steen | 1–1 | 5% → 50% |
| OT 3:37 | STL | Vladimir Tarasenko from Alex Pietrangelo, Paul Stastny | 2–1 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 19:22 | 2 | +1.59 | +0.30 | +1.28 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Parayko D | 18:10 | +0.24 | +0.33 | −0.10 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 24:04 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.39 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.01 | |
| Joel Edmundson D | 14:07 | +0.11 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 25:00 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.19 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 26:52 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.06 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Gunnarsson D | 16:04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 18:56 | −0.01 | +0.14 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Kyle Brodziak C | 8:11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Patrik Berglund C | 15:22 | −0.07 | +0.18 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Scottie Upshall R | 6:49 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 21:10 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 7:19 | −0.11 | +0.06 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 21:25 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 18:24 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.08 | −0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Magnus Paajarvi L | 12:07 | −0.23 | +0.19 | −0.41 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dmitrij Jaskin R | 11:04 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Troy Brouwer R | 20:29 | −0.43 | −0.04 | −0.39 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 63:33 | +1.19 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Toews C | 21:31 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.14 | +0.51 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.08 | |
| Dale Weise R | 9:14 | +0.07 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Fleischmann L | 13:50 | +0.02 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 23:56 | +0.01 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Bickell L | 9:11 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Desjardins L | 7:51 | −0.06 | +0.03 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Trevor van Riemsdyk D | 24:37 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Gustafsson D | 13:39 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michal Rozsival D | 21:43 | −0.10 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teuvo Teravainen C | 19:07 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Artemi Panarin L | 22:26 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.12 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Mashinter L | 9:03 | −0.21 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 12:37 | −0.24 | −0.16 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Richard Panik R | 14:45 | −0.29 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Svedberg D | 13:37 | −0.29 | −0.06 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Brent Seabrook D | 25:24 | −0.30 | −0.25 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Kane R | 24:08 | 1 | −0.67 | −0.24 | −0.48 | +0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Ladd L | 18:12 | −0.69 | −0.11 | −0.57 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Scott Darling G | 63:37 | +1.29 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.