DAL beat NSH 3–2 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mattias Janmark scored at 3:49 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DAL–NSH | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 11:32 | NSH | Craig Smith from Mattias Ekholm, Ryan Ellis | 0–1 | 53% → 70% |
| P2 5:42 | DAL | Cody EakinSH from Jamie Benn, Johnny Oduya | 1–1 | 27% → 46% |
| P2 6:59 | DAL | Ales Hemsky from Mattias Janmark, Valeri Nichushkin | 2–1 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 16:18 | NSH | Filip Forsberg from Craig Smith | 2–2 | 29% → 53% |
| OT 3:49 | DAL | Mattias Janmark from Tyler Seguin, John Klingberg | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mattias Janmark C | 15:13 | 1 | 1 | +0.73 | +0.12 | +0.48 | +0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Cody Eakin C | 20:04 | 1 | +0.69 | −0.11 | +0.88 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Tyler Seguin C | 20:39 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.32 | −0.16 | +0.22 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.03 | |
| John Klingberg D | 23:16 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.33 | −0.04 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ales Hemsky R | 13:24 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.07 | +0.37 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Oduya D | 21:25 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.08 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Colton Sceviour C | 10:42 | +0.10 | +0.17 | −0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 13:36 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.09 | −0.11 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Patrik Nemeth D | 16:29 | +0.03 | +0.05 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vernon Fiddler C | 8:16 | +0.02 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Patrick Eaves R | 17:17 | +0.01 | +0.17 | −0.05 | −0.11 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 16:06 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 21:55 | −0.03 | +0.13 | −0.08 | −0.08 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jamie Benn L | 20:38 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.26 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Radek Faksa C | 9:17 | −0.16 | +0.10 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Demers D | 22:20 | −0.26 | +0.05 | −0.04 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Sharp L | 19:44 | −0.26 | −0.13 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Antoine Roussel L | 17:06 | −0.51 | −0.19 | −0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Antti Niemi G | 63:49 | −0.18 |
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg L | 18:42 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.16 | +0.34 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 23:27 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.23 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Craig Smith C | 12:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.26 | −0.07 | +0.14 | +0.21 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 |
| Mike Fisher C | 18:02 | +0.08 | +0.10 | −0.03 | −0.06 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Anthony Bitetto D | 11:12 | +0.05 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Calle Jarnkrok C | 17:48 | +0.03 | +0.11 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Barret Jackman D | 12:34 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Ellis D | 24:49 | 1 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.08 | +0.06 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mike Ribeiro C | 15:06 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Colin Wilson C | 12:28 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Viktor Arvidsson L | 14:48 | −0.13 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Miikka Salomaki R | 12:21 | −0.22 | −0.19 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Weber D | 24:58 | −0.27 | −0.28 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| James Neal L | 19:51 | −0.28 | −0.27 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Gaustad C | 9:35 | −0.33 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Austin Watson L | 10:29 | −0.34 | −0.21 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Johansen C | 20:24 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.04 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 28:03 | −0.70 | −0.48 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hutton G | 63:46 | −0.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.