LAK beat NYR 5–4 in overtime. LAK also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Tanner Pearson scored at 3:10 of overtime, moving LAK’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Antti Raanta allowed 1.7 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | LAK–NYR | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:33 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Drew Doughty, Milan Lucic | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 11:26 | LAK | Marian GaborikPP from Alec Martinez | 2–0 | 64% → 77% |
| P1 13:00 | NYR | Viktor Stalberg from Kevin Hayes, Oscar Lindberg | 2–1 | 22% → 36% |
| P2 7:44 | NYR | Derek Stepan unassisted | 2–2 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 9:21 | NYR | Mats Zuccarello from Chris Kreider, Derek Stepan | 2–3 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 15:46 | LAK | Anze Kopitar from Milan Lucic, Dustin Brown | 3–3 | 25% → 47% |
| P3 15:14 | NYR | Kevin HayesPP from Mats Zuccarello, Keith Yandle | 3–4 | 52% → 89% |
| P3 19:30 | LAK | Anze KopitarPP from Drew Doughty, Jeff Carter | 4–4 | 4% → 49% |
| OT 3:10 | LAK | Tanner Pearson from Alec Martinez, Tyler Toffoli | 5–4 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anze Kopitar C | 23:23 | 3 | +2.56 | −0.05 | +2.35 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.17 | +0.05 | |
| Tanner Pearson L | 13:57 | 1 | +0.77 | −0.03 | +0.81 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Marian Gaborik R | 3:31 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.03 | +0.68 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Milan Lucic L | 23:43 | 2 | +0.20 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Brayden McNabb D | 21:14 | +0.07 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 14:43 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Drew Doughty D | 30:01 | 2 | +0.02 | +0.20 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jordan Nolan C | 9:12 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicholas Shore C | 8:57 | −0.01 | +0.07 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jake Muzzin D | 24:02 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 16:02 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Gravel D | 11:28 | −0.10 | −0.06 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 20:23 | 2 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Vincent Lecavalier C | 14:09 | −0.19 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 20:49 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.16 | −0.44 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dwight King L | 17:03 | −0.26 | −0.02 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Lewis C | 15:17 | −0.32 | +0.12 | −0.41 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 20:44 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.12 | −0.45 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Peter Budaj G | 62:18 | −1.33 |
NYR
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Zuccarello C | 19:26 | 1 | 1 | +1.01 | +0.26 | +0.71 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Kevin Hayes R | 12:51 | 1 | 1 | +0.80 | −0.05 | +0.82 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 |
| Viktor Stalberg L | 13:33 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.12 | +0.78 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Stepan C | 17:20 | 1 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.08 | +0.56 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.06 |
| Dan Girardi D | 20:39 | +0.10 | +0.12 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Kreider L | 14:56 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Klein D | 24:05 | +0.05 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 25:27 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.16 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Oscar Lindberg L | 11:13 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Daniel Paille L | 11:05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan McIlrath D | 13:09 | −0.11 | −0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tanner Glass L | 11:21 | −0.14 | −0.08 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jesper Fast R | 18:34 | −0.21 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dan Boyle D | 17:09 | −0.27 | −0.27 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| J.T. Miller C | 19:37 | −0.29 | +0.06 | −0.35 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Marc Staal D | 21:52 | −0.32 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Derick Brassard C | 20:23 | −0.41 | +0.05 | −0.41 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Dominic Moore C | 13:37 | −0.53 | −0.07 | −0.28 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Antti Raanta G | 63:10 | −1.67 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.