NYI beat CBJ 3–2 in a shootout. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 4.9 to 4.1: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Anders Lee scored on the power play at 3:05 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 22% to 48%. Jaroslav Halak saved 2.0 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:56 | NYI | Ryan Strome from John Tavares | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 7:45 | CBJ | Cam Atkinson from Brandon Dubinsky, Dalton Prout | 1–1 | 37% → 53% |
| P1 11:26 | CBJ | Brandon Dubinsky from Cam Atkinson | 1–2 | 53% → 70% |
| P3 3:05 | NYI | Anders LeePP from Kyle Okposo, Frans Nielsen | 2–2 | 22% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 10:37 | +0.77 | −0.06 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.02 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 15:27 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.16 | +0.52 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 22:40 | +0.68 | +0.73 | −0.05 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Strome C | 17:15 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.41 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Casey Cizikas C | 11:47 | +0.12 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 9:50 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Tavares C | 21:47 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.68 | −0.47 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.17 | +0.12 | −0.48 | |
| Frans Nielsen C | 18:48 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.53 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.02 | +0.67 | |
| Brian Strait D | 15:45 | +0.03 | +0.12 | −0.07 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nikolay Kulemin L | 16:12 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Boychuk D | 23:13 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Hickey D | 17:51 | −0.07 | +0.38 | −0.46 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 23:24 | −0.09 | +0.33 | −0.39 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 24:44 | −0.15 | −0.10 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 12:58 | −0.17 | +0.13 | −0.32 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Okposo R | 18:59 | 1 | −0.26 | +0.03 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.10 | |
| Brock Nelson C | 14:41 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.22 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikhail Grabovski C | 17:02 | −0.32 | +0.33 | −0.64 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 65:00 | +1.98 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Wennberg C | 18:49 | +0.32 | −0.01 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | +0.69 | ||
| Fedor Tyutin D | 14:48 | +0.13 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gregory Campbell C | 9:48 | +0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 22:13 | +0.09 | +0.20 | −0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dalton Prout D | 15:28 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Cody Goloubef D | 19:40 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 11:23 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Rene Bourque R | 9:41 | −0.12 | +0.04 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Calvert L | 17:04 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Hartnell L | 16:19 | −0.15 | +0.06 | −0.19 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 17:21 | −0.22 | −0.15 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Kerby Rychel L | 13:55 | −0.24 | −0.08 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 19:07 | 1 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.43 | +0.50 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 18:58 | 1 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.54 | +0.35 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.29 |
| Brandon Saad L | 19:33 | −0.80 | −0.12 | −0.66 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 24:43 | −0.81 | −0.82 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 26:44 | −1.27 | −0.87 | −0.34 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 16:55 | −1.55 | −0.35 | −0.52 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.48 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 65:00 | +1.98 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.