CBJ beat VAN 2–1 in a shootout. CBJ lost the expected-goals battle 2.6 to 2.9 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Scott Hartnell scored on the power play at 9:06 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 19% to 48%. Joonas Korpisalo saved 3.1 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CBJ–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:05 | VAN | Linden VeyPP from Bo Horvat, Sven Baertschi | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P3 9:06 | CBJ | Scott HartnellPP from Cam Atkinson, Ryan Murray | 1–1 | 19% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Wennberg C | 17:16 | +0.65 | −0.07 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +1.02 | ||
| Scott Hartnell L | 13:04 | 1 | +0.61 | −0.15 | +0.77 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gregory Campbell C | 10:57 | +0.13 | +0.14 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Dalton Prout D | 14:25 | +0.04 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Johnson D | 24:11 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Fedor Tyutin D | 15:17 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kerby Rychel L | 12:48 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Goloubef D | 19:36 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Calvert L | 15:57 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Murray D | 24:26 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Seth Jones D | 24:37 | −0.14 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rene Bourque R | 10:00 | −0.20 | +0.12 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Foligno L | 14:55 | −0.21 | +0.14 | −0.36 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 19:21 | −0.29 | −0.03 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 17:13 | −0.34 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| William Karlsson C | 17:12 | −0.46 | +0.09 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 20:42 | −0.48 | −0.24 | −0.08 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.17 | +0.07 | −0.38 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 20:14 | 1 | −1.14 | −0.05 | −0.61 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.32 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 65:00 | +3.13 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linden Vey R | 16:18 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.13 | +0.71 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | |
| Chris Tanev D | 24:23 | +0.65 | +0.47 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Sutter C | 16:11 | +0.21 | +0.14 | −0.18 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.10 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 26:30 | +0.14 | +0.50 | −0.36 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Dorsett R | 12:36 | +0.04 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Hutton D | 20:22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Sbisa D | 18:16 | −0.04 | +0.02 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Emerson Etem R | 13:31 | −0.12 | +0.13 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Sedin C | 20:23 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.11 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Burrows R | 14:35 | −0.19 | +0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.32 | ||
| Jannik Hansen R | 16:40 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared McCann L | 9:55 | −0.25 | +0.03 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 17:49 | 1 | −0.26 | −0.04 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.10 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Sedin L | 19:45 | −0.30 | −0.11 | −0.20 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Biega D | 17:13 | −0.33 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Bartkowski D | 16:26 | −0.41 | −0.34 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radim Vrbata R | 16:32 | −0.49 | +0.16 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.38 | ||
| Sven Baertschi L | 15:40 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.06 | −0.20 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.48 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 65:00 | +1.04 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.