CBJ beat COL 2–1. CBJ also won the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jack Johnson scored at 18:53 of the third, moving CBJ’s win probability from 50% to 95%. Joonas Korpisalo saved 1.6 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–CBJ | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:58 | CBJ | Brandon Dubinsky from Ryan Murray, Seth Jones | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P2 6:02 | COL | Chris Wagner from Jarome Iginla, Chris Bigras | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 18:53 | CBJ | Jack Johnson from Cody Goloubef, Brandon Saad | 1–2 | 50% → 95% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wagner R | 9:23 | 1 | +0.66 | +0.03 | +0.66 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| John Mitchell C | 13:50 | +0.22 | +0.11 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.17 | −0.02 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 19:10 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.11 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Cody McLeod L | 11:37 | +0.11 | +0.12 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Redmond D | 11:03 | +0.08 | +0.07 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andreas Martinsen L | 9:59 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Bigras D | 10:05 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikita Zadorov D | 21:32 | −0.12 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jack Skille R | 10:10 | −0.20 | +0.13 | −0.32 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarome Iginla R | 13:15 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Alex Tanguay L | 18:13 | −0.28 | +0.04 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 16:25 | −0.32 | −0.30 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Carl Soderberg C | 18:06 | −0.34 | −0.34 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Holden D | 24:34 | −0.40 | −0.23 | −0.33 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Francois Beauchemin D | 27:44 | −0.43 | −0.05 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 20:39 | −0.46 | +0.00 | −0.47 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 15:56 | −0.48 | −0.35 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 23:26 | −0.52 | −0.12 | −0.24 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard G | 58:53 | +0.35 |
CBJ
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Johnson D | 22:36 | 1 | +0.88 | −0.02 | +0.92 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Dubinsky C | 18:50 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.21 | +0.65 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Ryan Murray D | 25:14 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.28 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Seth Jones D | 26:08 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.29 | −0.14 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Alexander Wennberg C | 18:29 | +0.19 | +0.35 | −0.11 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Cam Atkinson R | 20:33 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.18 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Goloubef D | 21:19 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| William Karlsson C | 15:54 | −0.02 | +0.12 | −0.23 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.09 | ||
| Dalton Prout D | 12:27 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Anderson R | 11:25 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kerby Rychel L | 11:54 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Boll R | 5:42 | −0.05 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Falk D | 12:16 | −0.08 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gregory Campbell C | 10:17 | −0.12 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Markus Hannikainen L | 6:55 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Hartnell L | 17:47 | −0.17 | +0.04 | −0.21 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boone Jenner C | 17:18 | −0.45 | +0.07 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.34 | +0.03 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 19:02 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.22 | −0.87 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo G | 59:57 | +1.61 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.