BOS beat DET 3–2 in overtime. BOS lost the expected-goals battle 1.4 to 3.1 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Frank Vatrano scored at 3:32 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 48% to 100%. Jonas Gustavsson saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–DET | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:11 | BOS | Landon Ferraro from Frank Vatrano, Joonas Kemppainen | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 2:26 | DET | Pavel Datsyuk from Alexey Marchenko, Teemu Pulkkinen | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 14:53 | DET | Tomas Tatar from Riley Sheahan, Darren Helm | 1–2 | 53% → 75% |
| P3 18:16 | BOS | Colin Miller from Loui Eriksson, David Krejci | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 3:32 | BOS | Frank Vatrano from Colin Miller, Matt Beleskey | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Ferraro C | 9:51 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.09 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Colin Miller D | 18:54 | 1 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.01 | +0.66 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Frank Vatrano R | 11:57 | 1 | 1 | +0.44 | −0.06 | +0.69 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 |
| Matt Beleskey L | 16:31 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| David Krejci C | 24:16 | 1 | +0.11 | −0.05 | −0.07 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.03 | |
| Brad Marchand L | 16:37 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Brett Connolly R | 10:24 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joonas Kemppainen C | 13:03 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Zac Rinaldo C | 8:05 | −0.14 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zdeno Chara D | 24:12 | −0.17 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Seidenberg D | 19:50 | −0.26 | −0.21 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Trotman D | 20:01 | −0.26 | −0.16 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 22:11 | −0.27 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 21:56 | −0.29 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.06 | ||
| Adam McQuaid D | 15:34 | −0.29 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 23:45 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.15 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Spooner C | 11:58 | −0.34 | −0.17 | −0.19 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Jimmy Hayes R | 15:31 | −0.43 | −0.09 | −0.32 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Gustavsson G | 63:32 | +1.19 |
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Tatar L | 14:19 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.05 | +0.72 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Pavel Datsyuk C | 19:46 | 1 | +0.38 | +0.13 | +0.25 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Danny DeKeyser D | 21:51 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Miller L | 11:30 | +0.15 | +0.18 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gustav Nyquist R | 15:40 | +0.08 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Richards C | 17:15 | +0.08 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Green D | 21:44 | +0.07 | +0.05 | −0.11 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexey Marchenko D | 13:39 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.16 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Riley Sheahan C | 14:49 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Justin Abdelkader L | 16:02 | +0.04 | +0.07 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Darren Helm C | 12:30 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.25 | −0.21 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Teemu Pulkkinen L | 15:26 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brendan Smith D | 14:27 | −0.05 | +0.12 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Kronwall D | 26:48 | −0.07 | +0.21 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 13:17 | −0.13 | +0.20 | −0.29 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Jonathan Ericsson D | 21:08 | −0.24 | +0.16 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Dylan Larkin C | 17:22 | −0.31 | +0.06 | −0.20 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Zetterberg C | 17:03 | −0.32 | +0.06 | −0.38 | +0.03 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek G | 63:32 | −1.08 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.