DAL beat MIN 3–2 in overtime. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 2.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: John Klingberg scored at 3:18 of overtime, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Devan Dubnyk saved 1.2 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:41 |  DAL | Jason Spezza from John Klingberg, Jamie Benn | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 5:15 | MIN | Nino Niederreiter from Jared Spurgeon, Mikko Koivu | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 2:26 | DAL | Jamie BennPP from John Klingberg, Patrick Sharp | 1–2 | 53% → 78% |
| P3 7:15 | MIN | Marco Scandella from Erik Haula, Charlie Coyle | 2–2 | 19% → 48% |
| OT 3:18 | DAL | John Klingberg from Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Scandella D | 19:22 | 1 | +0.54 | −0.01 | +0.46 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Nino Niederreiter R | 19:09 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.11 | +0.26 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Erik Haula L | 10:49 | 1 | +0.18 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | |
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:55 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.12 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mathew Dumba D | 12:55 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Prosser D | 2:35 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Porter L | 7:13 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Folin D | 7:52 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 18:00 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 22:15 | −0.07 | −0.27 | −0.00 | −0.03 | +0.01 | +0.17 | +0.05 | ||
| Jordan Schroeder C | 8:43 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Vanek L | 17:48 | −0.30 | −0.20 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Pominville R | 18:02 | −0.33 | −0.22 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Carter L | 13:41 | −0.34 | −0.20 | −0.08 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 17:18 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.03 | −0.26 | +0.07 | +0.00 | −0.17 | −0.03 | |
| Jason Zucker L | 22:09 | −0.57 | −0.41 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikko Koivu C | 23:41 | 1 | −0.60 | −0.57 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Ryan Suter D | 33:11 | −0.82 | −0.79 | −0.06 | −0.03 | +0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk G | 63:10 | +1.21 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Klingberg D | 23:18 | 1 | 2 | +1.01 | +0.54 | +0.31 | +0.20 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Jamie Benn L | 20:44 | 1 | 2 | +0.61 | +0.54 | +0.24 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 |
| Tyler Seguin C | 20:56 | 1 | +0.43 | +0.39 | −0.33 | +0.20 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.01 | |
| Jason Spezza C | 16:48 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.38 | +0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Oduya D | 21:45 | +0.18 | +0.34 | −0.00 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ales Hemsky R | 10:43 | +0.16 | +0.25 | −0.01 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 22:52 | +0.10 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Demers D | 26:09 | +0.07 | +0.35 | −0.13 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Radek Faksa C | 10:16 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Vernon Fiddler C | 9:08 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Colton Sceviour C | 11:41 | −0.03 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cody Eakin C | 16:56 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.17 | +0.03 | ||
| Mattias Janmark C | 14:48 | −0.08 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.13 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Valeri Nichushkin R | 12:56 | −0.13 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordie Benn D | 15:27 | −0.27 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Sharp L | 19:21 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.06 | −0.37 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Antoine Roussel L | 14:14 | −0.30 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | ||
| Jamie Oleksiak D | 9:53 | −0.57 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.34 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Kari Lehtonen G | 63:17 | −0.13 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.