CGY beat DET 3–2 in overtime. CGY also won the expected-goals battle 3.1 to 2.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Mark Giordano scored at 3:12 of overtime, moving CGY’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | DET–CGY | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:38 | DET | Gustav NyquistPP from Henrik Zetterberg, Mike Green | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 11:02 | CGY | Mark Giordano from Johnny Gaudreau, Jiri Hudler | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P1 12:40 | DET | Brendan SmithPP from Dylan Larkin, Teemu Pulkkinen | 2–1 | 47% → 65% |
| P3 18:48 | CGY | Joe ColbornePP from Mark Giordano, Jiri Hudler | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
| OT 3:12 | CGY | Mark Giordano from Johnny Gaudreau, Sean Monahan | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
DET
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Smith D | 21:48 | 1 | +0.79 | +0.00 | +0.84 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Gustav Nyquist R | 16:52 | 1 | +0.57 | −0.24 | +0.83 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mike Green D | 6:03 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dylan Larkin C | 15:05 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.06 | −0.27 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.17 | −0.04 | |
| Teemu Pulkkinen L | 11:38 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.31 | −0.38 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jonathan Ericsson D | 24:47 | −0.10 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Landon Ferraro C | 8:26 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Darren Helm C | 17:38 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Andersson C | 10:55 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Luke Glendening C | 16:31 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.15 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Riley Sheahan C | 15:17 | −0.14 | −0.11 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Danny DeKeyser D | 22:52 | −0.15 | −0.17 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tomas Tatar L | 14:51 | −0.17 | +0.30 | −0.47 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Kronwall D | 24:35 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Miller L | 12:34 | −0.21 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Zetterberg C | 20:55 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.45 | −0.11 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Justin Abdelkader L | 19:39 | −0.64 | −0.47 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Kyle Quincey D | 21:10 | −0.73 | −0.41 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.34 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Howard G | 63:12 | +0.31 |
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Giordano D | 26:04 | 2 | 1 | +1.74 | +0.27 | +1.43 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Joe Colborne C | 14:51 | 1 | +0.69 | +0.12 | +0.71 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.17 | +0.03 | |
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 24:27 | 2 | +0.16 | +0.07 | −0.00 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jiri Hudler R | 20:08 | 2 | +0.14 | +0.13 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.34 | −0.01 | |
| Dennis Wideman D | 31:41 | +0.11 | +0.39 | −0.29 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Bennett C | 10:20 | +0.11 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 18:55 | +0.04 | +0.06 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Micheal Ferland L | 4:53 | +0.02 | +0.06 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Russell D | 27:23 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ladislav Smid D | 8:05 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mason Raymond L | 12:27 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Stajan C | 10:51 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Michael Frolik R | 16:34 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Jooris R | 10:07 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 23:35 | 1 | −0.30 | +0.03 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.09 | |
| Deryk Engelland D | 12:34 | −0.31 | −0.05 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.17 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Backlund C | 16:43 | −0.34 | +0.41 | −0.78 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| David Jones R | 12:35 | −0.35 | +0.08 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Hiller G | 62:24 | +0.66 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.