BOS beat PHI 3–2 in overtime. BOS also won the expected-goals battle 2.7 to 1.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Brad Marchand scored at 3:52 of overtime, moving BOS’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–BOS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 7:07 | BOS | Zdeno CharaPP from Dougie Hamilton, Patrice Bergeron | 0–1 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 9:43 | PHI | Jakub VoracekPP from Mark Streit, Claude Giroux | 1–1 | 27% → 47% |
| P3 15:30 | PHI | Chris VandeVelde from Nick Schultz, Brayden Schenn | 2–1 | 49% → 88% |
| P3 19:45 | BOS | Brad MarchandPP from Dougie Hamilton, Loui Eriksson | 2–2 | 4% → 51% |
| OT 3:52 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Max Talbot, Ryan Spooner | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris VandeVelde C | 16:23 | 1 | +0.94 | +0.18 | +0.78 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 16:49 | 1 | +0.48 | −0.00 | +0.44 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Schultz D | 22:58 | 1 | +0.24 | +0.24 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zac Rinaldo C | 8:33 | +0.12 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 17:05 | +0.06 | +0.16 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Carlo Colaiacovo D | 15:09 | +0.03 | +0.06 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Read R | 15:29 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:24 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Mark Streit D | 21:59 | 1 | −0.13 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 19:08 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.03 | −0.09 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 15:36 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| R.J. Umberger C | 10:02 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 20:50 | −0.18 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 18:18 | −0.24 | −0.09 | −0.14 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 22:48 | −0.28 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan White C | 11:35 | −0.29 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Michael Del Zotto D | 22:31 | −0.29 | −0.16 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 17:25 | −0.47 | −0.02 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Mason G | 63:52 | +0.38 |
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Marchand L | 17:49 | 2 | +1.52 | +0.01 | +1.51 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zdeno Chara D | 22:16 | 1 | +0.84 | −0.04 | +0.85 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Paille L | 11:44 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Seidenberg D | 21:12 | +0.10 | +0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Spooner C | 19:29 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.20 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| David Pastrnak R | 12:41 | +0.01 | +0.11 | −0.46 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.35 | −0.01 | ||
| Patrice Bergeron C | 20:54 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | |
| Max Talbot C | 12:08 | 1 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Chris Kelly C | 14:05 | −0.10 | −0.03 | −0.11 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Matt Bartkowski D | 16:55 | −0.14 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Gregory Campbell C | 12:13 | −0.15 | −0.08 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.03 | ||
| Adam McQuaid D | 18:07 | −0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 21:45 | −0.15 | +0.13 | −0.30 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 15:13 | −0.17 | −0.04 | −0.14 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 15:53 | −0.19 | +0.06 | −0.24 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 22:18 | 2 | −0.23 | −0.07 | −0.19 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Loui Eriksson L | 22:09 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.02 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Carl Soderberg C | 17:49 | −0.34 | −0.04 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Tuukka Rask G | 61:55 | +0.02 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.