NYI beat PIT 6–3. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 3.9 to 3.0: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kyle Okposo scored at 11:51 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 52% to 85%. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.6 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PIT–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:52 | PIT | Sidney CrosbyPP from Chris Kunitz, Evgeni Malkin | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P1 12:22 | PIT | David PerronPP from Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby | 2–0 | 65% → 78% |
| P1 16:51 | NYI | Kyle Okposo from John Tavares, Josh Bailey | 2–1 | 21% → 35% |
| P2 12:31 | NYI | Ryan Strome from Anders Lee, Frans Nielsen | 2–2 | 31% → 53% |
| P2 19:55 | PIT | Sidney Crosby from Paul Martin, Kris Letang | 3–2 | 48% → 73% |
| P3 6:42 | NYI | Kyle Okposo from Josh Bailey, Thomas Hickey | 3–3 | 23% → 52% |
| P3 11:51 | NYI | Kyle Okposo from Josh Bailey, Travis Hamonic | 3–4 | 52% → 85% |
| P3 17:29 | NYI | Kyle OkposoPP from Brock Nelson, John Tavares | 3–5 | 94% → 100% |
| P3 18:47 | NYI | Michael GrabnerEN unassisted | 3–6 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby C | 19:32 | 2 | 1 | +0.73 | −0.15 | +0.89 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 |
| David Perron L | 19:04 | 1 | +0.60 | −0.02 | +0.61 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 17:40 | 1 | +0.28 | +0.33 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Kris Letang D | 22:59 | 2 | +0.09 | +0.02 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Beau Bennett R | 17:32 | −0.00 | +0.15 | −0.12 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Rob Scuderi D | 19:44 | −0.05 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Simon Despres D | 18:08 | −0.06 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Sill C | 11:42 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Adams R | 7:45 | −0.12 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Arcobello R | 8:43 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Paul Martin D | 21:59 | 1 | −0.14 | −0.09 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brandon Sutter C | 15:56 | −0.14 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Scott Harrington D | 13:36 | −0.23 | −0.22 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Christian Ehrhoff D | 22:50 | −0.27 | −0.29 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcel Goc C | 13:45 | −0.28 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Chris Kunitz L | 17:24 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.03 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Spaling C | 15:43 | −0.45 | +0.04 | −0.28 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | ||
| Steve Downie R | 10:43 | −0.49 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 59:05 | −1.55 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Okposo R | 18:15 | 4 | +3.02 | +0.09 | +2.75 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Strome C | 15:27 | 1 | +0.93 | +0.27 | +0.62 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Brock Nelson C | 15:12 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.35 | −0.02 | |
| Frans Nielsen C | 14:36 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.31 | −0.23 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Johnny Boychuk D | 23:31 | +0.08 | +0.15 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brian Strait D | 13:56 | +0.04 | +0.09 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 23:02 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.12 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 21:30 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.03 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 13:30 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Thomas Hickey D | 14:26 | 1 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nikolay Kulemin L | 13:16 | −0.07 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 21:08 | −0.14 | +0.03 | −0.17 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Grabner L | 13:53 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 12:45 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 17:23 | 3 | −0.17 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Matt Martin L | 13:51 | −0.24 | −0.03 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anders Lee C | 12:02 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.36 | −0.69 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Tavares C | 19:22 | 2 | −0.39 | +0.12 | −0.50 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak G | 60:00 | −0.32 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.