VAN beat CGY 3–2 in overtime. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chris Tanev scored at 0:18 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | CGY–VAN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:40 | VAN | Yannick WeberEN unassisted | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 9:24 | VAN | Radim VrbataPP from Alexandre Burrows, Daniel Sedin | 0–2 | 70% → 83% |
| P2 12:29 | CGY | David Jones from Kris Russell, Markus Granlund | 1–2 | 11% → 26% |
| P3 7:05 | CGY | Johnny Gaudreau from Jiri Hudler, Deryk Engelland | 2–2 | 19% → 48% |
| OT 0:18 | VAN | Chris Tanev from Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
CGY
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Gaudreau L | 17:07 | 1 | +0.79 | −0.13 | +0.87 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| David Jones R | 11:39 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.08 | +0.39 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Mark Giordano D | 26:09 | +0.11 | +0.02 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Deryk Engelland D | 14:50 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.06 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Paul Byron L | 13:01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Colborne C | 15:06 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Raphael Diaz D | 8:54 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| TJ Brodie D | 27:27 | −0.08 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Russell D | 24:33 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Curtis Glencross L | 14:21 | −0.12 | −0.02 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Markus Granlund C | 13:54 | 1 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | |
| Lance Bouma L | 13:25 | −0.17 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dennis Wideman D | 18:35 | −0.22 | −0.17 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jiri Hudler R | 15:13 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.17 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | |
| Josh Jooris R | 16:40 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.02 | ||
| Sean Monahan C | 18:38 | −0.28 | +0.08 | −0.35 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Mason Raymond L | 14:37 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Stajan C | 10:46 | −0.49 | −0.03 | −0.28 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Hiller G | 60:13 | +0.55 |
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Tanev D | 22:33 | 1 | +0.91 | +0.08 | +0.80 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Radim Vrbata R | 18:10 | 1 | +0.30 | −0.24 | +0.55 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Stanton D | 18:04 | +0.13 | +0.18 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Richardson R | 15:08 | +0.09 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Yannick Weber D | 14:18 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | |
| Jannik Hansen R | 6:12 | +0.01 | +0.10 | −0.10 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 25:38 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Bonino C | 17:51 | −0.02 | +0.11 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Shawn Matthias L | 13:56 | −0.05 | +0.11 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Linden Vey R | 15:50 | −0.10 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Chris Higgins L | 16:58 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bo Horvat C | 9:16 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.15 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | ||
| Kevin Bieksa D | 21:27 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Sbisa D | 15:06 | −0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexandre Burrows R | 13:50 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.06 | −0.26 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Derek Dorsett R | 12:34 | −0.23 | +0.17 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Henrik Sedin C | 18:57 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Daniel Sedin L | 19:24 | 2 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.29 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller G | 60:18 | +0.54 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.