PIT beat COL 1–0 in overtime. PIT also won the expected-goals battle 4.1 to 1.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Blake Comeau scored at 2:24 of overtime, moving PIT’s win probability from 52% to 100%. Calvin Pickard saved 3.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | COL–PIT | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT 2:24 | PIT | Blake Comeau from Evgeni Malkin, Rob Scuderi | 0–1 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
COL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody McLeod L | 7:10 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Holden D | 4:26 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Landeskog L | 20:51 | −0.08 | −0.22 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.04 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Marc-Andre Cliche C | 14:00 | −0.14 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Dennis Everberg R | 8:23 | −0.22 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Max Talbot C | 15:36 | −0.26 | −0.15 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Daniel Brière C | 14:40 | −0.29 | −0.18 | −0.12 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jan Hejda D | 22:50 | −0.29 | −0.23 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Johnson D | 24:26 | −0.33 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zach Redmond D | 19:21 | −0.38 | −0.37 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Duchene C | 20:31 | −0.40 | −0.39 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.03 | ||
| Ryan O'Reilly C | 21:10 | −0.41 | −0.24 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Tyson Barrie D | 16:51 | −0.45 | −0.44 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alex Tanguay L | 19:17 | −0.52 | −0.53 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Nate Guenin D | 14:56 | −0.53 | −0.51 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brad Stuart D | 20:34 | −0.61 | −0.34 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.04 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarome Iginla R | 19:38 | −0.62 | −0.41 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 20:56 | −0.69 | −0.43 | −0.34 | +0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard G | 62:24 | +3.49 |
PIT
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Comeau L | 21:51 | 1 | +0.77 | +0.32 | +0.47 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rob Scuderi D | 25:30 | 1 | +0.59 | +0.58 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Simon Despres D | 22:29 | +0.44 | +0.70 | −0.10 | +0.03 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Letang D | 28:24 | +0.29 | +0.40 | −0.28 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Martin D | 25:58 | +0.28 | +0.31 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Farnham R | 4:14 | +0.10 | +0.17 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Harrington D | 13:33 | +0.09 | +0.13 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evgeni Malkin C | 23:16 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.45 | −0.56 | +0.04 | −0.03 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Nick Spaling C | 16:44 | +0.07 | +0.17 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Sutter C | 20:57 | +0.03 | +0.21 | −0.17 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Christian Ehrhoff D | 9:03 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Craig Adams R | 7:13 | −0.02 | +0.20 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Steve Downie R | 13:28 | −0.03 | +0.13 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcel Goc C | 14:45 | −0.05 | +0.20 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Rob Klinkhammer L | 9:31 | −0.13 | +0.05 | −0.18 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Bryan Rust R | 8:52 | −0.22 | +0.24 | −0.44 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sidney Crosby C | 20:19 | −0.24 | +0.23 | −0.54 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.04 | ||
| Patric Hornqvist R | 19:29 | −0.84 | +0.32 | −1.18 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury G | 62:24 | +1.59 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.