ANA beat PHI 5–4 in a shootout. ANA also won the expected-goals battle 3.6 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Wayne Simmonds scored on the power play at 19:57 of the third, moving PHI’s win probability from 2% to 48%. Steve Mason allowed 2.5 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–ANA | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 5:46 | PHI | Michael Raffl from Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek | 1–0 | 47% → 67% |
| P2 8:14 |  ANA | Cam Fowler from Jakob Silfverberg, Frederik Andersen | 1–1 | 32% → 53% |
| P2 8:46 | PHI | Wayne Simmonds from Brayden Schenn, Mark Streit | 2–1 | 47% → 68% |
| P2 10:47 | PHI | R.J. UmbergerPP from Nick Schultz, Sean Couturier | 3–1 | 69% → 85% |
| P2 11:15 | ANA | Ryan Getzlaf from Hampus Lindholm, Corey Perry | 3–2 | 15% → 31% |
| P2 19:06 | ANA | Sami Vatanen from Patrick Maroon | 3–3 | 28% → 52% |
| P3 14:58 | ANA | Patrick MaroonPP from Corey Perry, Ryan Getzlaf | 3–4 | 52% → 88% |
| P3 19:57 | PHI | Wayne SimmondsPP from Scott Laughton, Andrew MacDonald | 4–4 | 2% → 48% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Simmonds R | 18:31 | 2 | +0.93 | +0.22 | +0.70 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Sean Couturier C | 19:24 | 1 | +0.89 | +0.28 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.64 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:57 | 1 | +0.48 | +0.32 | −0.00 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Michael Raffl L | 16:51 | 1 | +0.29 | +0.05 | +0.34 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Schultz D | 22:37 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.12 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Read R | 16:05 | +0.20 | +0.13 | −0.11 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| R.J. Umberger C | 12:34 | 1 | +0.14 | −0.28 | +0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braydon Coburn D | 22:23 | +0.05 | +0.23 | −0.05 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 17:43 | 1 | +0.00 | +0.40 | −0.08 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Laughton C | 13:15 | 1 | −0.00 | +0.25 | −0.25 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | |
| Jakub Voracek R | 20:42 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.23 | −0.08 | +0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | |
| Chris VandeVelde C | 7:36 | −0.09 | −0.01 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 23:56 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.24 | −0.19 | +0.18 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.32 | |
| Zac Rinaldo C | 8:11 | −0.23 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Streit D | 24:59 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.09 | −0.05 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicklas Grossmann D | 23:06 | −0.28 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 11:38 | −0.36 | −0.29 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 14:49 | −0.38 | −0.33 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Mason G | 63:05 | −2.54 |
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Perry R | 21:57 | 2 | +1.15 | +0.22 | −0.05 | +0.15 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.82 | |
| Jakob Silfverberg R | 18:01 | 1 | +0.86 | −0.12 | −0.16 | +0.26 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.70 | |
| Patrick Maroon L | 14:16 | 1 | 1 | +0.62 | +0.34 | +0.16 | +0.14 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 |
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 23:45 | 1 | 1 | +0.52 | +0.22 | +0.30 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 |
| Sami Vatanen D | 26:12 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.14 | +0.20 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Tim Jackman R | 10:20 | +0.29 | +0.19 | −0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Clayton Stoner D | 13:01 | +0.26 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mat Clark D | 11:45 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 23:28 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.29 | +0.37 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrew Cogliano C | 17:56 | −0.06 | +0.11 | −0.11 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Hampus Lindholm D | 26:30 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.25 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Kesler C | 19:16 | −0.09 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.04 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Palmieri C | 9:25 | −0.15 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Beleskey L | 16:23 | −0.15 | −0.07 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rene Bourque R | 8:16 | −0.25 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Devante Smith-Pelly R | 16:34 | −0.37 | −0.24 | −0.00 | −0.09 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Nate Thompson C | 16:08 | −0.37 | −0.41 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Manson D | 20:59 | −0.45 | −0.36 | +0.00 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen G | 65:00 | −0.92 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.