SJS beat PHI 2–1. SJS also won the expected-goals battle 2.9 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Matt Nieto scored at 19:48 of the third, moving SJS’s win probability from 51% to 97%. Antti Niemi saved 1.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–SJS | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 6:00 | PHI | Sean CouturierPP from Scott Laughton, Andrew MacDonald | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 17:44 | SJS | Marc-Edouard Vlasic from Tommy Wingels, Logan Couture | 1–1 | 29% → 53% |
| P3 19:48 | SJS | Matt Nieto from Patrick Marleau | 1–2 | 51% → 97% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Couturier C | 16:06 | 1 | +0.76 | −0.08 | +0.84 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andrew MacDonald D | 19:25 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Chris VandeVelde C | 9:55 | +0.01 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Read R | 16:09 | −0.05 | −0.12 | −0.08 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 20:55 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.15 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Zac Rinaldo C | 11:05 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luke Schenn D | 12:51 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| R.J. Umberger C | 12:12 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.11 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 18:12 | −0.13 | +0.04 | −0.22 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 18:32 | −0.15 | −0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Streit D | 19:58 | −0.19 | −0.05 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schultz D | 21:06 | −0.25 | −0.25 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Pierre-Edouard Bellemare L | 11:34 | −0.32 | +0.04 | −0.34 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | ||
| Scott Laughton C | 15:37 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.41 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 15:01 | −0.43 | −0.33 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Braydon Coburn D | 23:48 | −0.57 | −0.35 | −0.21 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nicklas Grossmann D | 19:12 | −0.62 | −0.22 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.05 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 16:29 | −0.73 | −0.32 | −0.42 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Mason G | 59:53 | +0.35 |
SJS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Nieto L | 17:22 | 1 | +0.83 | +0.26 | +0.61 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marc-Edouard Vlasic D | 23:21 | 1 | +0.72 | −0.10 | +0.81 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brent Burns D | 22:27 | +0.18 | +0.22 | −0.09 | +0.03 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brenden Dillon D | 19:35 | +0.15 | +0.28 | −0.10 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joe Thornton C | 19:16 | +0.15 | +0.17 | −0.06 | +0.05 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Irwin D | 14:44 | +0.09 | +0.12 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Scott Hannan D | 14:39 | +0.08 | +0.17 | −0.09 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tommy Wingels C | 16:23 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.13 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Joe Pavelski C | 21:05 | +0.06 | +0.19 | −0.16 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| John Scott L | 6:36 | +0.02 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Brown R | 6:01 | +0.02 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Tomas Hertl C | 16:08 | +0.00 | +0.11 | −0.28 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Tye McGinn L | 17:18 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Logan Couture C | 13:06 | 1 | −0.07 | +0.02 | −0.08 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Patrick Marleau C | 17:09 | 1 | −0.15 | +0.17 | −0.30 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Andrew Desjardins L | 12:17 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.12 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.04 | ||
| Justin Braun D | 24:28 | −0.23 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| James Sheppard C | 14:23 | −0.25 | +0.05 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.18 | +0.03 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Antti Niemi G | 60:00 | +1.50 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.