LAK beat STL 1–0 in a shootout. LAK lost the expected-goals battle 1.8 to 4.4 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. Jonathan Quick saved 5.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | STL–LAK | Win prob. |
|---|
Every player
Show both lineups
STL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Pietrangelo D | 30:03 | +0.53 | +0.40 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jay Bouwmeester D | 24:34 | +0.43 | +0.48 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrik Berglund C | 17:09 | +0.24 | +0.30 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevin Shattenkirk D | 25:35 | +0.21 | +0.50 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Leopold D | 10:51 | +0.09 | +0.11 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Reaves R | 7:28 | +0.08 | +0.09 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Barret Jackman D | 15:56 | +0.02 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Joakim Lindstrom C | 10:12 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steve Ott C | 12:58 | −0.11 | +0.07 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Ian Cole D | 18:58 | −0.13 | +0.21 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | −0.35 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jaden Schwartz C | 14:40 | −0.16 | +0.15 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Backes R | 18:46 | −0.17 | −0.05 | −0.25 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Lapierre C | 11:48 | −0.24 | +0.14 | −0.42 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| Jori Lehtera C | 14:45 | −0.30 | +0.03 | −0.34 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Stastny C | 19:04 | −0.40 | +0.49 | −0.95 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.06 | +0.00 | ||
| T.J. Oshie R | 18:46 | −0.48 | +0.44 | −0.63 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.30 | ||
| Alexander Steen L | 20:53 | −0.63 | +0.35 | −0.63 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.36 | ||
| Vladimir Tarasenko R | 17:34 | −0.72 | +0.46 | −0.59 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.45 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Brian Elliott G | 65:00 | +1.02 |
LAK
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Carter C | 21:16 | +0.06 | −0.45 | −0.14 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.70 | ||
| Tanner Pearson L | 14:41 | −0.05 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Greene D | 17:08 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Andreoff C | 5:02 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Brayden McNabb D | 9:56 | −0.22 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anze Kopitar C | 24:29 | −0.22 | −0.03 | −0.22 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.18 | −0.01 | −0.18 | ||
| Jordan Nolan C | 6:40 | −0.23 | −0.11 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Richards C | 18:21 | −0.23 | −0.04 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Clifford L | 11:11 | −0.26 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jarret Stoll C | 15:33 | −0.31 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Williams R | 16:58 | −0.34 | −0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Slava Voynov D | 26:10 | −0.35 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Alec Martinez D | 22:13 | −0.38 | −0.35 | −0.05 | +0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tyler Toffoli C | 14:52 | −0.41 | −0.15 | −0.31 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.14 | ||
| Robyn Regehr D | 21:41 | −0.42 | −0.43 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Drew Doughty D | 30:47 | −0.43 | −0.31 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dwight King L | 16:44 | −0.47 | −0.36 | −0.07 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dustin Brown R | 16:18 | −0.53 | −0.42 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick G | 65:00 | +5.50 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.