WPG beat BOS 2–1 in a shootout. WPG lost the expected-goals battle 3.0 to 3.6 and won anyway, a result the shot quality did not support. The biggest swing: Evander Kane scored at 18:03 of the third, moving WPG’s win probability from 7% to 50%. Michael Hutchinson saved 3.5 goals above expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | BOS–WPG | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 10:12 | BOS | Brad Marchand from Reilly Smith, David Krejci | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P3 18:03 | WPG | Evander Kane from Blake Wheeler, Toby Enstrom | 1–1 | 7% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
BOS
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Marchand L | 17:57 | 1 | +0.31 | +0.10 | +0.37 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.16 | −0.02 | −0.32 | |
| Shawn Thornton L | 11:33 | +0.17 | +0.05 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dougie Hamilton D | 19:27 | +0.15 | +0.13 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Johnny Boychuk D | 21:43 | −0.02 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Bartkowski D | 23:09 | −0.03 | +0.04 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Gregory Campbell C | 16:09 | −0.10 | +0.12 | −0.24 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | ||
| Carl Soderberg C | 16:14 | −0.13 | −0.11 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.16 | −0.08 | −0.00 | ||
| Daniel Paille L | 13:16 | −0.14 | −0.06 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| David Krejci C | 20:27 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.26 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Andrej Meszaros D | 20:20 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kevan Miller D | 20:29 | −0.22 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Spooner C | 14:18 | −0.24 | +0.10 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.29 | ||
| Torey Krug D | 18:56 | −0.34 | −0.08 | −0.27 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Milan Lucic L | 18:53 | −0.39 | −0.21 | −0.17 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Reilly Smith R | 14:18 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.31 | |
| Jarome Iginla R | 19:32 | −0.55 | −0.23 | −0.50 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 19:25 | −0.56 | −0.11 | −0.46 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Caron R | 9:54 | −0.65 | +0.08 | −0.55 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Johnson G | 65:00 | +1.52 |
WPG
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Little C | 20:04 | +0.68 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | +0.68 | ||
| Zach Redmond D | 20:01 | +0.24 | +0.09 | −0.04 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Evander Kane L | 22:03 | 1 | +0.10 | −0.03 | +0.16 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Jim Slater C | 13:02 | +0.06 | +0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Wheeler R | 20:54 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.26 | −0.24 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Jacob Trouba D | 25:43 | −0.03 | +0.08 | −0.14 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Tangradi L | 15:46 | −0.05 | +0.21 | −0.23 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Toby Enstrom D | 25:00 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.06 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Eric O'Dell C | 11:18 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Paul Postma D | 21:25 | −0.10 | −0.02 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrice Cormier C | 9:17 | −0.11 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Carl Klingberg L | 9:21 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Adam Pardy D | 19:20 | −0.16 | +0.06 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anthony Peluso R | 9:54 | −0.19 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Halischuk R | 11:55 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.21 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Stuart D | 18:47 | −0.23 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Frolik R | 19:44 | −0.38 | −0.03 | −0.34 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Olli Jokinen C | 17:48 | −0.56 | +0.19 | −0.35 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.33 | +0.03 | −0.10 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Hutchinson G | 64:54 | +3.55 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.