CHI beat MIN 3–2 in a shootout. CHI also won the expected-goals battle 2.2 to 1.4: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Erik Haula scored at 18:06 of the third, moving MIN’s win probability from 6% to 50%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | MIN–CHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 14:19 | MIN | Charlie Coyle from Jared Spurgeon, Ryan Suter | 1–0 | 47% → 64% |
| P2 2:29 | CHI | Ben Smith from Brandon Saad, Nick Leddy | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P3 2:45 | CHI | Bryan Bickell from Jeremy Morin | 1–2 | 52% → 78% |
| P3 18:06 | MIN | Erik Haula from Justin Fontaine | 2–2 | 6% → 50% |
Every player
Show both lineups
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Haula L | 15:30 | 1 | +0.97 | +0.11 | +0.85 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | |
| Charlie Coyle C | 20:22 | 1 | +0.66 | −0.04 | +0.71 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Stephane Veilleux L | 6:26 | +0.15 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jonathon Blum D | 11:47 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 25:19 | 1 | +0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marco Scandella D | 23:24 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 33:11 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Moulson L | 17:44 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jake Dowell C | 7:09 | −0.17 | −0.14 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Dany Heatley L | 8:49 | −0.17 | −0.16 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Justin Fontaine R | 14:12 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Nate Prosser D | 13:24 | −0.34 | −0.34 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Cooke L | 15:43 | −0.36 | −0.12 | −0.22 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jonas Brodin D | 22:00 | −0.38 | −0.42 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kyle Brodziak C | 17:17 | −0.41 | −0.34 | −0.09 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Zach Parise L | 23:20 | −0.48 | −0.02 | −0.15 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.31 | ||
| Jason Pominville R | 19:45 | −0.70 | −0.07 | −0.18 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.47 | ||
| Mikko Koivu C | 22:38 | −0.75 | −0.12 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.37 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ilya Bryzgalov G | 65:00 | −0.20 |
CHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Smith R | 18:08 | 1 | +0.68 | +0.15 | +0.65 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.15 | |
| Bryan Bickell L | 9:56 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.16 | +0.51 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Marian Hossa R | 21:27 | +0.51 | −0.07 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.80 | ||
| Duncan Keith D | 26:46 | +0.21 | +0.20 | −0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Leddy D | 13:33 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Peter Regin C | 9:35 | +0.15 | +0.16 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeremy Morin L | 8:56 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.17 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brent Seabrook D | 26:24 | +0.12 | +0.10 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Rundblad D | 9:21 | +0.09 | +0.17 | −0.08 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Marcus Kruger C | 17:00 | +0.04 | +0.17 | −0.14 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | −0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Brookbank D | 25:27 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Brandon Bollig L | 12:48 | +0.03 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Niklas Hjalmarsson D | 27:35 | +0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew Shaw R | 22:08 | −0.04 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Joakim Nordstrom C | 13:39 | −0.10 | +0.01 | −0.10 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Kris Versteeg R | 17:52 | −0.29 | +0.15 | −0.27 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 | ||
| Brandon Saad L | 16:30 | 1 | −0.36 | +0.17 | −0.51 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Patrick Sharp L | 20:55 | −0.47 | −0.11 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.31 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford G | 65:00 | +0.83 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.