MIN beat NSH 3–2 in overtime. MIN also won the expected-goals battle 2.8 to 1.6: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Nino Niederreiter scored at 2:16 of overtime, moving MIN’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NSH–MIN | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 4:05 | MIN | Jonas Brodin from Nino Niederreiter | 0–1 | 53% → 69% |
| P1 5:50 | NSH | Craig Smith from Carter Hutton | 1–1 | 31% → 47% |
| P1 13:27 | MIN | Zach ParisePP from Dany Heatley, Jason Pominville | 1–2 | 54% → 70% |
| P2 7:40 | NSH | Craig Smith from Victor Bartley | 2–2 | 27% → 47% |
| OT 2:16 | MIN | Nino Niederreiter from Kyle Brodziak, Jared Spurgeon | 2–3 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NSH
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Smith C | 18:51 | 2 | +0.72 | +0.05 | +0.74 | −0.06 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Ryan Ellis D | 12:40 | +0.35 | +0.17 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Gabriel Bourque L | 17:41 | +0.16 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.08 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colin Wilson C | 14:30 | +0.01 | −0.02 | −0.15 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.16 | +0.01 | ||
| Matt Cullen C | 7:36 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Patric Hornqvist R | 16:01 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Simon Moser C | 10:04 | −0.07 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Legwand C | 18:41 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.03 | +0.10 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Paul Gaustad C | 14:15 | −0.13 | −0.15 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Seth Jones D | 21:54 | −0.15 | −0.12 | +0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Nystrom L | 17:50 | −0.17 | −0.13 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Rich Clune L | 7:20 | −0.18 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Roman Josi D | 30:42 | −0.18 | −0.20 | −0.08 | +0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Victor Bartley D | 14:02 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.23 | −0.05 | +0.24 | +0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | |
| Taylor Beck L | 12:00 | −0.19 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Shea Weber D | 29:32 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.05 | +0.06 | −0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Del Zotto D | 16:17 | −0.30 | −0.30 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mike Fisher C | 19:59 | −0.49 | −0.34 | −0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.05 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Carter Hutton G | 62:09 | +0.15 |
MIN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nino Niederreiter R | 15:53 | 1 | 1 | +0.71 | +0.29 | +0.44 | +0.15 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 |
| Jonas Brodin D | 22:20 | 1 | +0.67 | +0.23 | +0.47 | −0.05 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zach Parise L | 23:30 | 1 | +0.39 | +0.08 | +0.27 | −0.13 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | |
| Keith Ballard D | 13:29 | +0.31 | +0.24 | +0.00 | −0.09 | −0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Suter D | 35:11 | +0.15 | +0.12 | −0.06 | +0.04 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikael Granlund C | 21:32 | +0.11 | +0.23 | −0.23 | +0.09 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Charlie Coyle C | 16:23 | +0.10 | +0.15 | −0.18 | −0.09 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.06 | ||
| Nate Prosser D | 14:25 | +0.05 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jared Spurgeon D | 24:03 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.04 | +0.00 | −0.07 | +0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Brodziak C | 15:10 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.08 | −0.11 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| Clayton Stoner D | 9:59 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Zucker L | 13:24 | −0.01 | −0.06 | −0.08 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Cooke L | 13:53 | −0.02 | +0.03 | −0.09 | +0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Pominville R | 21:00 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.16 | −0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Justin Fontaine R | 8:33 | −0.06 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.04 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Dany Heatley L | 16:37 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.18 | −0.23 | +0.13 | −0.00 | −0.16 | −0.01 | |
| Torrey Mitchell C | 9:37 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Erik Haula L | 10:31 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.08 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper G | 61:50 | −0.60 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.