NYI beat PHI 4–3 in a shootout. NYI also won the expected-goals battle 4.3 to 3.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Kyle Okposo scored on the power play at 17:02 of the third, moving NYI’s win probability from 10% to 51%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | PHI–NYI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P2 1:26 | PHI | Matt ReadSH from Sean Couturier, Kimmo Timonen | 1–0 | 46% → 65% |
| P2 9:26 | NYI | John TavaresPP from Kyle Okposo, Thomas Vanek | 1–1 | 33% → 53% |
| P2 11:30 | PHI | Wayne Simmonds from Scott Hartnell, Braydon Coburn | 2–1 | 47% → 69% |
| P2 18:16 | PHI | Matt Read from Nicklas Grossmann | 3–1 | 72% → 88% |
| P3 8:16 | NYI | Brock Nelson from Josh Bailey, Cal Clutterbuck | 3–2 | 6% → 22% |
| P3 17:02 | NYI | Kyle OkposoPP from Frans Nielsen, Andrew MacDonald | 3–3 | 10% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Read R | 19:46 | 2 | +2.45 | −0.00 | +1.46 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +1.03 | |
| Claude Giroux R | 21:54 | +0.77 | +0.13 | −0.17 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.80 | ||
| Andrej Meszaros D | 20:16 | +0.23 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Wayne Simmonds R | 16:51 | 1 | +0.21 | +0.22 | +0.01 | −0.04 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Kimmo Timonen D | 22:16 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.19 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jay Rosehill L | 4:14 | −0.04 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Jakub Voracek R | 11:52 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.07 | +0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Mark Streit D | 23:43 | −0.09 | +0.08 | −0.13 | −0.03 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Braydon Coburn D | 21:32 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.09 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Hall R | 12:36 | −0.17 | −0.17 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Nicklas Grossmann D | 20:10 | 1 | −0.18 | −0.17 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Luke Schenn D | 17:00 | −0.23 | −0.20 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steve Downie R | 12:59 | −0.26 | −0.10 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Michael Raffl L | 13:16 | −0.29 | −0.08 | −0.20 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Scott Hartnell L | 17:59 | 1 | −0.49 | −0.01 | −0.30 | +0.02 | −0.03 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Brayden Schenn C | 16:59 | −0.50 | +0.08 | −0.55 | −0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | −0.04 | −0.00 | ||
| Vincent Lecavalier C | 12:55 | −0.58 | +0.02 | −0.11 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.00 | −0.31 | ||
| Sean Couturier C | 21:03 | 1 | −1.04 | −0.16 | −0.40 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.47 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Ray Emery G | 65:00 | −0.91 |
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Okposo R | 22:57 | 1 | 1 | +2.00 | +0.26 | +0.69 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +1.03 |
| John Tavares C | 25:08 | 1 | +1.26 | +0.26 | +0.13 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.02 | +1.03 | |
| Frans Nielsen C | 19:21 | 1 | +0.65 | +0.41 | −0.47 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.68 | |
| Brock Nelson C | 14:05 | 1 | +0.40 | −0.23 | +0.61 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | −0.00 | |
| Andrew MacDonald D | 30:33 | 1 | +0.32 | +0.29 | −0.14 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Brian Strait D | 23:31 | +0.31 | +0.19 | −0.02 | +0.02 | −0.04 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Cal Clutterbuck R | 19:01 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.31 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.33 | +0.00 | −0.00 | |
| Calvin de Haan D | 23:21 | +0.03 | −0.06 | −0.08 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.16 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Boulton L | 6:11 | +0.02 | +0.03 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Thomas Hickey D | 16:55 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.10 | +0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Casey Cizikas C | 11:56 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.08 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Carkner D | 8:11 | −0.07 | −0.03 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Thomas Vanek L | 22:25 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.21 | −0.16 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.19 | |
| Colin McDonald R | 10:18 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Josh Bailey R | 16:12 | 1 | −0.21 | −0.13 | −0.08 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | −0.00 | |
| Matt Donovan D | 21:53 | −0.31 | −0.13 | −0.16 | +0.01 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Grabner L | 11:00 | −0.46 | −0.19 | −0.24 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.00 | ||
| Matt Martin L | 9:04 | −0.56 | +0.02 | −0.40 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.16 | −0.01 | −0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Anders Nilsson G | 59:34 | −0.40 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.