PHX beat ANA 5–4 in a shootout. PHX also won the expected-goals battle 3.4 to 2.8: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Steve Sullivan scored at 13:31 of the third, moving PHX’s win probability from 16% to 51%. Viktor Fasth allowed 1.2 goals more than expected.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | ANA–PHX | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 0:21 | ANA | Andrew Cogliano from Saku Koivu, Toni Lydman | 1–0 | 47% → 62% |
| P1 10:30 | PHX | Matthew Lombardi from Raffi Torres, Shane Doan | 1–1 | 36% → 53% |
| P2 12:32 | PHX | Lauri Korpikoski from David Moss, Keith Yandle | 1–2 | 53% → 74% |
| P2 12:59 | ANA | Andrew Cogliano from Ben Lovejoy | 2–2 | 25% → 47% |
| P2 17:26 | ANA | Andrew Cogliano from Daniel Winnik, Saku Koivu | 3–2 | 47% → 71% |
| P3 0:16 | PHX | Lauri Korpikoski from Antoine Vermette | 3–3 | 27% → 52% |
| P3 6:25 | ANA | Saku KoivuPP from Bobby Ryan, Luca Sbisa | 4–3 | 49% → 77% |
| P3 13:31 | PHX | Steve Sullivan from Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Mikkel Boedker | 4–4 | 16% → 51% |
Every player
Show both lineups
ANA
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Cogliano C | 15:04 | 3 | +2.65 | +0.02 | +2.44 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Saku Koivu C | 17:42 | 1 | 2 | +0.21 | +0.02 | +0.73 | +0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.54 |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 2:59 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Patrick Maroon L | 7:44 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Winnik L | 15:19 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.02 | −0.13 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Toni Lydman D | 17:33 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.10 | −0.03 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Emerson Etem R | 8:38 | −0.13 | −0.12 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Lovejoy D | 17:46 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Francois Beauchemin D | 25:58 | −0.25 | +0.01 | −0.26 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teemu Selanne R | 17:15 | −0.27 | −0.24 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sheldon Souray D | 22:36 | −0.39 | −0.20 | −0.18 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Luca Sbisa D | 19:47 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.48 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Matt Beleskey L | 14:56 | −0.49 | −0.19 | −0.29 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Getzlaf C | 26:13 | −0.59 | −0.39 | −0.17 | +0.07 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | ||
| Bobby Ryan R | 19:21 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.49 | −0.26 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | |
| Nick Bonino C | 20:54 | −0.80 | −0.17 | −0.27 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | −0.35 | ||
| Corey Perry R | 23:26 | −0.81 | −0.34 | −0.25 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.00 | −0.41 | ||
| Cam Fowler D | 24:49 | −0.82 | −0.36 | −0.45 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Fasth G | 65:00 | −1.18 |
PHX
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Sullivan L | 17:27 | 1 | +1.49 | +0.31 | +0.46 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.74 | |
| Lauri Korpikoski L | 18:13 | 2 | +1.44 | +0.06 | +1.57 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.19 | |
| Matthew Lombardi C | 19:22 | 1 | +0.57 | +0.13 | +0.41 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | |
| Zbynek Michalek D | 26:44 | +0.40 | +0.42 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Stone D | 17:33 | +0.20 | +0.23 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Shane Doan R | 19:10 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.35 | −0.21 | +0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 26:05 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.26 | −0.11 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Rostislav Klesla D | 17:34 | +0.13 | +0.12 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Keith Yandle D | 20:49 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.19 | −0.09 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Raffi Torres L | 17:41 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.28 | −0.19 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Paul Bissonnette L | 5:46 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Johnson R | 6:33 | +0.04 | +0.04 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Boyd Gordon C | 12:30 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Derek Morris D | 21:33 | −0.04 | +0.24 | −0.07 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| David Moss R | 15:05 | 1 | −0.09 | +0.06 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kyle Chipchura C | 13:14 | −0.16 | +0.63 | −0.58 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | −0.02 | +0.00 | ||
| Mikkel Boedker L | 17:50 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.21 | −0.14 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.35 | |
| Antoine Vermette C | 18:56 | 1 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.18 | +0.07 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Smith G | 65:00 | +0.49 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.