VAN beat EDM 3–2 in overtime. VAN also won the expected-goals battle 3.2 to 2.5: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Chris Tanev scored at 4:40 of overtime, moving VAN’s win probability from 48% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | VAN–EDM | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 18:38 | EDM | Ales HemskyPP from Nail Yakupov, Sam Gagner | 0–1 | 54% → 71% |
| P2 8:08 | EDM | Ryan SmythSH from Anton Lander | 0–2 | 73% → 87% |
| P2 12:41 | VAN | Jannik Hansen from Jordan Schroeder, Chris Higgins | 1–2 | 11% → 26% |
| P3 17:43 | VAN | Kevin Bieksa from Mason Raymond, Jannik Hansen | 2–2 | 7% → 50% |
| OT 4:40 | VAN | Chris Tanev from Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin | 3–2 | 48% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
VAN
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Hansen R | 18:14 | 1 | 1 | +0.58 | −0.07 | +0.39 | +0.08 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 |
| Chris Tanev D | 14:16 | 1 | +0.41 | −0.05 | +0.42 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kevin Bieksa D | 24:45 | 1 | +0.22 | +0.05 | +0.31 | −0.13 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Mason Raymond L | 18:45 | 1 | +0.05 | −0.02 | −0.15 | +0.20 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | |
| Manny Malhotra C | 8:36 | +0.02 | −0.02 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Dan Hamhuis D | 26:10 | −0.00 | −0.04 | −0.09 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Sedin L | 21:10 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.04 | −0.06 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Dale Weise R | 6:27 | −0.06 | −0.05 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Henrik Sedin C | 22:26 | 1 | −0.06 | +0.07 | −0.22 | +0.14 | −0.01 | −0.18 | +0.13 | |
| Alexandre Burrows R | 21:38 | −0.06 | +0.13 | −0.11 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.07 | ||
| Keith Ballard D | 15:18 | −0.10 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.06 | −0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Alexander Edler D | 26:02 | −0.10 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Schroeder C | 18:38 | 1 | −0.12 | +0.01 | −0.11 | +0.20 | −0.00 | −0.18 | −0.03 | |
| Zack Kassian R | 13:30 | −0.13 | +0.10 | −0.08 | −0.13 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Maxim Lapierre C | 12:10 | −0.16 | −0.04 | −0.05 | −0.07 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jason Garrison D | 22:54 | −0.25 | −0.00 | −0.14 | −0.14 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Aaron Volpatti L | 6:44 | −0.26 | −0.03 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Chris Higgins L | 13:23 | 1 | −0.32 | −0.13 | −0.15 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Roberto Luongo G | 64:40 | +0.88 |
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ales Hemsky R | 16:47 | 1 | +0.42 | +0.08 | +0.40 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Ryan Smyth L | 13:56 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.14 | +0.62 | −0.05 | +0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 | |
| Mark Fistric D | 4:40 | +0.21 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Potter D | 20:41 | +0.16 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Nick Schultz D | 23:17 | +0.05 | +0.14 | −0.03 | −0.08 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Teemu Hartikainen C | 9:25 | +0.04 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | ||
| Ladislav Smid D | 24:06 | +0.04 | +0.21 | +0.00 | −0.13 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Magnus Paajarvi L | 11:05 | −0.09 | +0.03 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Taylor Hall L | 20:57 | −0.12 | +0.32 | −0.54 | −0.08 | −0.01 | +0.18 | +0.01 | ||
| Anton Lander C | 14:54 | 1 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.02 | |
| Nail Yakupov R | 15:08 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.00 | +0.19 | −0.01 | −0.18 | −0.01 | |
| Sam Gagner C | 18:20 | 1 | −0.16 | −0.05 | −0.09 | +0.08 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.09 | |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | 20:13 | −0.17 | +0.02 | −0.00 | −0.12 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Shawn Horcoff C | 10:42 | −0.20 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.07 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 22:18 | −0.21 | +0.15 | −0.11 | −0.05 | −0.02 | −0.18 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Petry D | 23:30 | −0.22 | −0.07 | +0.00 | −0.11 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Lennart Petrell L | 12:59 | −0.26 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.05 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Justin Schultz D | 27:49 | −0.36 | −0.09 | −0.18 | −0.05 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk G | 64:33 | −0.05 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.