DAL beat EDM 4–1. DAL also won the expected-goals battle 3.5 to 2.3: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Jamie Benn scored at 7:03 of the third, moving DAL’s win probability from 52% to 81%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | EDM–DAL | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 17:19 | EDM | Taylor Hall from Sam Gagner, Ladislav Smid | 1–0 | 47% → 65% |
| P2 14:39 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Trevor Daley, Loui Eriksson | 1–1 | 30% → 53% |
| P3 7:03 | DAL | Jamie Benn from Adam Burish, Tom Wandell | 1–2 | 52% → 81% |
| P3 13:39 | DAL | Mike Ribeiro from Loui Eriksson | 1–3 | 87% → 98% |
| P3 18:46 | DAL | Mike RibeiroEN from Brenden Morrow, Loui Eriksson | 1–4 | 100% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
EDM
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Hall L | 22:33 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.02 | +0.29 | +0.04 | −0.01 | −0.16 | −0.01 | |
| Darcy Hordichuk L | 2:14 | −0.00 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Colten Teubert D | 10:55 | −0.01 | +0.14 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Theo Peckham D | 16:46 | −0.02 | +0.07 | −0.04 | +0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ryan Smyth L | 22:42 | −0.06 | −0.02 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jordan Eberle R | 1:53 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ales Hemsky R | 20:36 | −0.10 | +0.06 | −0.18 | +0.03 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andy Sutton D | 20:56 | −0.13 | −0.14 | +0.01 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Corey Potter D | 23:19 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.04 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ben Eager L | 11:52 | −0.18 | −0.13 | −0.06 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Anton Lander C | 11:04 | −0.22 | −0.24 | −0.11 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.16 | −0.02 | ||
| Shawn Horcoff C | 21:52 | −0.29 | −0.07 | −0.14 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.05 | ||
| Eric Belanger C | 15:19 | −0.30 | −0.33 | −0.00 | +0.00 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.05 | ||
| Ryan Jones L | 17:35 | −0.32 | −0.21 | −0.12 | −0.01 | +0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sam Gagner C | 21:53 | 1 | −0.37 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.02 | −0.16 | −0.06 | |
| Josh Green C | 12:14 | −0.37 | −0.23 | −0.15 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Ladislav Smid D | 22:31 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.37 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jeff Petry D | 20:47 | −0.55 | −0.36 | −0.14 | −0.00 | −0.05 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolai Khabibulin G | 58:59 | +0.04 |
DAL
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Benn L | 17:19 | 2 | +1.92 | +0.26 | +1.44 | +0.09 | −0.00 | +0.16 | −0.03 | |
| Mike Ribeiro C | 18:00 | 2 | +1.16 | +0.27 | +0.82 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.05 | |
| Adam Pardy D | 16:30 | +0.52 | +0.52 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Fistric D | 13:54 | +0.31 | +0.34 | −0.02 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Tom Wandell C | 9:28 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.20 | −0.09 | −0.02 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jake Dowell C | 7:29 | +0.08 | +0.12 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Alex Goligoski D | 24:22 | +0.07 | +0.07 | −0.02 | +0.04 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Loui Eriksson L | 22:04 | 3 | +0.05 | +0.22 | −0.16 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Nicklas Grossmann D | 18:28 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.01 | −0.02 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Stephane Robidas D | 24:50 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.06 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Trevor Daley D | 21:56 | 1 | −0.04 | −0.00 | −0.06 | +0.02 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Adam Burish R | 9:54 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.24 | −0.31 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Vernon Fiddler C | 13:50 | −0.14 | −0.10 | −0.11 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.06 | ||
| Radek Dvorak R | 12:11 | −0.16 | −0.09 | −0.07 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Eric Nystrom L | 14:13 | −0.18 | −0.12 | −0.03 | −0.02 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Steve Ott C | 13:27 | −0.24 | +0.00 | −0.07 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 | ||
| Brenden Morrow L | 22:23 | 1 | −0.35 | +0.31 | −0.64 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | −0.01 | |
| Michael Ryder R | 15:42 | −0.44 | +0.00 | −0.44 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Richard Bachman G | 60:00 | +0.95 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.