PHI beat NYI 4–3 in overtime. PHI also won the expected-goals battle 4.5 to 3.2: the better chances went the right way. The biggest swing: Andrej Meszaros scored at 4:42 of overtime, moving PHI’s win probability from 52% to 100%.
Win probability
The site’s win-probability model, second by second: score, time left and the manpower on the ice. Dots are goals; hover for the swing.
Expected goals
Running total of each team’s shot quality (unblocked attempts). Dots are goals.
Three stars, by the model
Net goals added in this game versus a league-average player: on-ice goal share, finishing, playmaking, suppression, drawn and taken penalties, faceoffs; goalies by goals saved above expected.
Rough nights
Scoring
Win probability of the scoring team just before and after each goal.
| Time | Team | Goal | NYI–PHI | Win prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 9:03 | NYI | Frans Nielsen from Jack Hillen, Al Montoya | 1–0 | 47% → 63% |
| P2 1:58 | PHI | Mike Richards from Scott Hartnell | 1–1 | 34% → 53% |
| P2 17:31 | PHI | James van Riemsdyk from Claude Giroux, Jeff Carter | 1–2 | 53% → 76% |
| P3 5:05 | PHI | Jeff Carter from Claude Giroux, Sean O'Donnell | 1–3 | 80% → 94% |
| P3 6:31 | NYI | Matt Martin from Micheal Haley, Mark Katic | 2–3 | 5% → 20% |
| P3 19:32 | NYI | Matt MartinPP from Travis Hamonic, Andrew MacDonald | 3–3 | 3% → 49% |
| OT 4:42 | PHI | Andrej Meszaros from Ville Leino, Matt Carle | 3–4 | 52% → 100% |
Every player
Show both lineups
NYI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Martin L | 10:35 | 2 | +1.62 | −0.04 | +1.66 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Frans Nielsen C | 17:24 | 1 | +0.59 | −0.15 | +0.73 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Jack Hillen D | 25:14 | 1 | +0.26 | +0.13 | −0.04 | +0.01 | −0.01 | +0.17 | +0.00 | |
| Ty Wishart D | 18:25 | +0.20 | +0.17 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| PA Parenteau R | 16:47 | +0.06 | +0.08 | −0.00 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Mark Katic D | 15:37 | 1 | −0.05 | −0.05 | +0.01 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Zenon Konopka C | 9:25 | −0.07 | −0.06 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Micheal Haley L | 9:04 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Bruno Gervais D | 19:04 | −0.22 | −0.14 | −0.07 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Andrew MacDonald D | 23:38 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 | +0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Josh Bailey R | 18:44 | −0.27 | −0.27 | −0.00 | +0.03 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Blake Comeau L | 19:00 | −0.31 | −0.08 | −0.04 | −0.01 | −0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 | ||
| Kyle Okposo R | 15:52 | −0.38 | −0.00 | −0.39 | +0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Rob Schremp C | 17:55 | −0.43 | −0.17 | −0.22 | +0.00 | −0.04 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Moulson L | 17:55 | −0.45 | +0.06 | −0.52 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Michael Grabner L | 19:22 | −0.45 | −0.19 | −0.22 | −0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Travis Hamonic D | 25:23 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.45 | +0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| John Tavares C | 18:05 | −0.81 | +0.16 | −0.95 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | −0.01 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Al Montoya G | 64:01 | +0.24 |
PHI
| Skater | TOI | G | A | Net goals | On-ice | Finishing | Playmaking | Suppression | Penalties | Faceoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Richards C | 21:17 | 1 | +0.92 | +0.30 | +0.61 | −0.01 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.03 | |
| James van Riemsdyk L | 18:43 | 1 | +0.78 | +0.17 | +0.58 | +0.03 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andrej Meszaros D | 22:38 | 1 | +0.63 | +0.21 | +0.38 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Braydon Coburn D | 24:02 | +0.22 | +0.25 | −0.02 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Jeff Carter C | 21:26 | 1 | 1 | +0.16 | +0.08 | +0.28 | −0.02 | +0.01 | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| Kimmo Timonen D | 22:08 | +0.06 | +0.34 | −0.29 | −0.00 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Sean O'Donnell D | 17:41 | 1 | +0.01 | +0.05 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.02 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Scott Hartnell L | 19:01 | 1 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 | −0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Kris Versteeg R | 19:12 | −0.02 | +0.30 | −0.33 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Daniel Carcillo L | 6:07 | −0.03 | +0.03 | −0.05 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Matt Carle D | 24:38 | 1 | −0.09 | −0.09 | −0.04 | +0.03 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Daniel Brière C | 14:03 | −0.11 | −0.22 | −0.07 | +0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | −0.01 | ||
| Darroll Powe C | 8:12 | −0.13 | +0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.00 | +0.00 | +0.02 | ||
| Chris Pronger D | 18:17 | −0.17 | −0.15 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | ||
| Claude Giroux R | 22:23 | 2 | −0.23 | +0.10 | −0.34 | +0.05 | −0.01 | +0.00 | −0.03 | |
| Jody Shelley L | 6:26 | −0.26 | +0.02 | −0.29 | −0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | ||
| Ville Leino L | 15:07 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.12 | −0.27 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 | |
| Andreas Nodl R | 15:27 | −0.50 | +0.05 | −0.55 | −0.01 | +0.01 | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Goalie | TOI | GSAx (net goals) |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 64:42 | +0.35 |
Net goals for one game are noisy: a single goal against on the ice or a lucky finish moves them a lot. See the card guide and Net Goals 101 for how they are built.