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Archetype chemistry: do mixed lines beat matched lines?

Producer: archetype_chemistry.py (2026-09-04). Forward-only 5v5 units from unit_chemistry_2010_26.csv (era-adjusted WOWY, 2010-11 → 2025-26): 967 trios (≥100 together min) and 2,849 duos (≥150 min) where every member has a career archetype. Lift60 = together net xG/60 − same-season apart net xG/60. All means TogMin-weighted.

Macro roles: S scorer (First-line star, Top-six sniper) · P play-driver (Two-way top-six, Complementary skill winger) · G grinder (Net-front, Shutdown/PK C, Checker, Enforcer).

Trios by macro composition

Linentogether minLift60 (±SE)apart net60
PSS17663,497+0.310 ± 0.040+0.141
SSS6220,717+0.279 ± 0.060+0.025
PPS14845,232+0.263 ± 0.045+0.168
GPP6314,923+0.262 ± 0.064+0.096
GGP8619,700+0.260 ± 0.065+0.036
GGG9021,942+0.220 ± 0.054-0.065
GGS459,798+0.218 ± 0.079+0.165
GSS12534,960+0.196 ± 0.045+0.093
GPS15031,473+0.104 ± 0.048+0.155
PPP225,395+0.050 ± 0.120-0.154

Trios by number of distinct archetypes

Linentogether minLift60 (±SE)apart net60
1409,855+0.316 ± 0.097+0.106
2435139,226+0.256 ± 0.027+0.106
3492118,555+0.211 ± 0.024+0.092

League-wide trio lift: +0.238 (lines that stay together ≥100 min are, by selection, the ones that worked).

Regression (Lift60, TogMin-weighted)

TermcoefSEt
const+0.2550.095+2.7
apart_net60-0.1440.052-2.8
2 types (vs 1)-0.0620.085-0.7
3 types (vs 1)-0.1210.085-1.4
spread finishing+0.1160.062+1.9
spread playmaking+0.0940.085+1.1
spread hits+0.0330.058+0.6
mean finishing-0.1250.043-2.9
mean playmaking+0.1420.056+2.5
mean hits-0.0570.039-1.5

Duo matrix — Lift60 by archetype pair (n in subscript; cells with n<15 hidden)

StarSniperTwo-waySkill wingNet-frontShutdown CCheckerEnforcer
Star+0.26 53+0.18 122+0.27 143+0.10 122-0.01 131-0.08 38-0.01 35+0.01 20
Sniper+0.18 122+0.19 82+0.16 138+0.05 154+0.10 174-0.04 78+0.03 60-0.04 19
Two-way+0.27 143+0.16 138+0.15 68+0.08 139+0.14 162+0.06 47+0.02 50+0.22 24
Skill wing+0.10 122+0.05 154+0.08 139-0.02 77+0.10 157-0.13 77+0.01 75-0.00 33
Net-front-0.01 131+0.10 174+0.14 162+0.10 157+0.10 83+0.15 79+0.03 87+0.02 58
Shutdown C-0.08 38-0.04 78+0.06 47-0.13 77+0.15 79+0.01 25+0.06 89+0.06 45
Checker-0.01 35+0.03 60+0.02 50+0.01 75+0.03 87+0.06 89+0.01 43+0.10 51
Enforcer+0.01 20-0.04 19+0.22 24-0.00 33+0.02 58+0.06 45+0.10 51

Same-type duos: +0.147; mixed-type duos: +0.109 (TogMin-weighted).

Caveats